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Saturday, August 3: Meadowlands Analysis for Hambo Day

by Al Cimaglia

August 3, 2019

It's Hambo Day at the Big M, posted below are comments and exacta selections for the Elimination Races as well as all of the stakes. First post is noon Eastern Time for the 16-race card. 

All Xpressbet account holders who register can compete to win a split of 1 million Xpressbet Reward Points. To qualify hit five exactas on the Meadowlands card with a minimum of $2 bets to receive a share of the 1 million Reward Points. 

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. 

Race 4-James Doherty Memorial 

3-Crucial (7/2) 
5-Hypnotic AM (5/2) 
9-Hello Tomorrow (8-1) 

My exacta key will be Hypnotic AM and will use the Chapter 7 filly with Crucial and Hello Tomorrow. I think the race will go in 1.53 or faster and Dave Miller may leave, get a close-up spot and rally late with #9. Hello Tomorrow would add some juice to the exacta. 

Race 5-Peter Haughton Memorial 

3-Synergy (5/2) 
4-Real Cool Sam (2-1) 
5-Stay Close (5-1) 
6-Capricornus (6-1) 

The program favorite, Real Cool Sam looks a cut above the rest and will be my exacta key. Using under the program chalk, and what looks like the biggest threat, is Synergy. Worthwhile plays for the bottom of the exacta which should be square prices, are Stay Close and Capricornus. 

Race 6-Shady Daisy 

1-Trilions Hanover (10-1) 
2-Warrawee Ubeaut (9/2) 
4-Tall Drink Hanover (5/2) 
5-Stonebridge Soul (2-1) 

Stonebridge Soul draws well, is in fine form and will be my exacta key in this race. Trillions Hanover is an interesting price shot with Dave Miller who should be put in play from the rail and can close in the stretch. Warrawee Ubeaut and Tall Drink Hanover deserve respect and should be in the hunt as well. 

Race 7-Sam McKee Memorial 

2-McWicked (7/2) 
4-This Is The Plan (9/2) 
5-Dorsoduro Hanover (8-1) 
7-Filibuster Hanover (8-1) 
9-Lather Up (3-1) 

It appears this group has enough early speed to sizzle the half in .53 and change, so I will use McWicked up and down in exactas. This Is The Plan has been camera shy this year but should be in the mix. Dorsoduro Hanover and Filibuster Hanover both come off sharp efforts and might be overlooked at the windows. Lather Up could take a picture if gets the top and steals a quarter. 

Race 8-Hambletonian Elimination 

3-Swandre The Giant (7/2) 
7-Gimpanzee (2-1) 
8-Green Manalishi S (5/2) 

Many believe trainer Marcus Melander has the best chance of winning the Hambo with three excellent entries and two in this elimination. Gimpanzee is 12-12 lifetime but has never raced at the Big M and might be handled slightly more cautiously before facing Greenshoe in the Final. Green Manalishi S is in fine form but not sure how much gas will be used from the 8-hole to win this elimination. Although off of Lasix today my thinking is Swandre The Giant could get the same trip from this post as he had when winning the Stanley Dancer Memorial and I will key on top in exactas. 

Race 9-Hambletonian Elimination 

3-Pilot Discretion (10-1) 
5-Greenshoe (4/5) 

Unless in a big funk Greenshoe should get his own way and win this elimination. Pilot Discretion is consistent and in good form, at 10-1 offers some value and will be my only use in an exacta under Greenshoe. 

Race 10-John Cashman Memorial 

1-Marion Marauder (7/2) 
4-Eurobond (8-1) 
7-Crystal Fashion (12-1) 
9-Six Pack (5-1) 

In this affair Marion Marauder and Six Pack will be used on top and boxed in exactas. Those two will also be keyed on top of the #4 and #7. Eurobond will need a top effort but has been perfect since joining the Julie Miller barn. Crystal Fashion does well at the Big M and is worth a swing at 12-1 in the ML as Dave Miller takes a seat instead of Tim Tetrick. I'm leaving the ML favorite Guardian Angel As out of the mix as he is often bet down hard and is only 1-7 in East Rutherford. 

Race 11-Hambletonian Oaks 

2-Millies Possesion (9/5) 
4-Evident Beauty (7/2) 
5-When Dovescry (5/2) 

When Dovescry is my key on top in exactas as I look to beat the chalk. The ML 2nd chalk is 3-3-when racing on a mile oval and can win on the engine or coming off a helmet. Millies Possesion is 8-8 and should be the post time favorite, there aren't any flaws to be found, but will look towards the better price here. Evident Beauty can fly late and shouldn't be overlooked for exacta tickets. 

Race 12-Hambletonian Final 

My take on the Hambo is similar to Hall of Fame driver and current Hambletonian Society President John Campbell, who said in an interview this week that conditioner Marcus Melander has the three best horses. One of the three stands above the others and Greenshoe should handle his assignment today barring bad luck. Giving out a winner is not the same as giving out a good play. In the Final much will depend on the eliminations and post draws to see who will have the best chance of knocking off Greenshoe or to be a gimmick possibility. 

Race 13-Dr. John Steele Memorial 

1-Manchego (7/2) 
6-Hannelore Hanover (3-1) 
7-Darling Mearas S (4-1) 
8-Custom Cantab (15-1) 

Manchego finally notched her 1st win of the year with a sparkling effort and now will be my key on top in exactas. Drawing the rail shouldn't hurt as she should be in gear for another big try again. Hannelore Hanover is a champ and deserves respect but I will be using underneath as well as another sharp looking mare, Darling Mearas S. Custom Cantab will need a hot pace and a live cover flow but at 15-1 she is a use underneath in gimmicks. 

Race 14-Lady Liberty 

1-Shartin N (6/5) 
3-Caviart Ally (5-1) 

Shartin N is 8 of 9 this year and her form is razor sharp. But I like Caviart Alley just as much and will use both of these top mares in an exacta box. 

Race 15-Cane Pace 

4-Bettor's Wish (9/5) 
6-Captain Crunch (2-1) 

This looks like a two horse race and my edge goes to Captain Crunch. Crunch was used very hard to get the top in a 52.4 half in the Meadowlands Pace and finshed 4th, losing by less than a length. Bettor's Wish was parked and pressuring Captain Crunch in the Pace and finished a very game 2nd. There is no doubt Bettor's Wish is a top 3-year-old but I will put Captain Crunch on top and hope for a less taxing journey in the opening half mile. 

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia