Log In

Friday, August 16: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

August 16, 2019

Tonight's feature at Hawthorne Racecourse rolls in Race 6, an Open Pace with a $12,000 purse. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 has a $10,000 guaranteed pool. The sequence starts with the headliner in Race 6 and will be my focus. 

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. 

Race 6 

7-Rising To The Top-Did the heavy lifting on the engine, almost lasted on a night when the front wasn't the best. 
8-Stuckey Dote-Other Leonard entry might be set for a more aggressive try in 3rd start after arriving in Stickney. 
10-Fox Valley Gemini-Just missed after being off 2 weeks and the opening half was slow, looking for more tonight. 

Race 7 

2-Canthelpbutwin-Gets Leonard back and needs a trip but can stick around with this post draw, looks like a player. 
5-Lil Orphan Elmer-Rallied off a quick half for a picture and will respect here but thinking this won't be as easy. 
8-Shark Control-Got the top when speed wasn't holding, Lackey may work a trip and stay in the hunt at a price. 
10-Scary Harry-Loses Leonard but Seekman knows, pace could be quick, 3-time beaten chalk may make amends. 

Race 8 

4-Starlite Kid-Beaten odds-on chalk in last 2 makes 3rd start in Leonard barn, 7/5 chalk is running out of excuses. 
10-Sir Mammo-Drops, can win with a trip and a hot pace, liking change to Ridge Warren and will be a square price. 

Race 9 

2-Mocking Robin-Off over 2 weeks but drops to bottom level and gets post relief, could be a needed wake-up call. 
4-Dumas Gram-2nd time Seekman and his choice over 1 and 6, in a race without much form will respect his pick. 
6-Heartland Desire-7/2 ML might be flattering but came close at this level on 7-12 and now Leonard steers. 
8-Ghosts And Legends-Drops, last 2 have been better, makes 3rd local start and worth a swing versus this crew. 

My Ticket

Race 6) 7,8,9

Race 7) 2,5,8

Race 8) 4,10

Race 9) 2,4,6,8 

Total Ticket Cost) $48 for $0.50

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia