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Friday, August 30: Hawthorne Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

August 30, 2019

If you love big cards get ready to enjoy the 16-races scheduled at Hawthorne Racecourse. The added entertainment is due to the cancellation of races last weekend at the DuQuoin State Fair. Tomorrow's card will have a similar line-up, with 15 races set to roll. 

The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 13 and will have a $10,000 guaranteed pool. It's an interesting sequence and could yield a nice price if recent winners in Springfield don't have repeat performances. 

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. 

Race 13 

2-Sign Her Up-Was simply used too hard to the half (.54) at Spr, will need a trip but worth a swing at 25-1. 
4-Double Parked-Gets strong post relief and is 4 of 5 with one 2nd place finisher at Haw, looks like a major player. 
7-Sleazy Gal-Miller trainee is consistent and raced well in 2-Spr starts, best to respect, should offer a square price. 
9-Fox Valley Exploit-Was bet hard in Spr, post helps price and can take another picture even from the 9-hole. 

Race 14 

2-Fox Valley Ren-4/5 ML favorite has only 1 loss in 7 starts and has to be considered on top once again. 
3-RG'S Tracer-Racing well but has been chasing Ren, if the chalk isn't dialed on high, this looks like the winner. 

Race 15 

2-The Bucket-Making assumption the #3 and #4 might be vulnerable, if so, this colt is in the mix at 8-1 in the ML. 
3-Meyer On Fire-Comes off 2 quick mile wins at Spr, now off 2-weeks and could be the best again. 
4-Maximus-Likes the engine and it could be #4-#2 around the first turn, may get a breather and take a picture. 
7-Fox Valley Triton-Another racing well, will need the right set-up but Leonard may find live cover and roll by late. 

Race 16 

1-Trixies Turbo- Winner of >$92K in '18 has been disappointing this summer, maybe wakes-up with 2-weeks off. 
3-Lourhianon-Broke in 2 Spr starts but that hasn't been the case in Stickney, in the hunt with a flat mile. 
5-Lousraptor-Comes off 2 big scores in Spr, will respect 7/5 choice but hasn't been unbeatable at Hawthorne. 

My Ticket

Race 13) 2,4,7,9

Race 14) 2,3

Race 15) 2,3,4,7

Race 16) 1,3,5 

Total Ticket Cost) $48 for $0.50

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia