Log In

Friday, September 27: The Red Mile Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

September 27, 2019

Some of the finest two-year-old fillies will be competing at the Red Mile this afternoon in a 9-race card. The $1.00 Pick 4 begins in Race 6, it has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

The driver with the hottest hands in Lexington on Thursday was Dexter Dunn with two wins. Ake Svanstedt and Jonas Czernyson led conditioners with two trips to the winner's circle.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Gai Waterhouse (5/2)-Caught a pocket ride and passed #6 to win at a square price. Speedy filly will be out and winging from the word go and could control things. My top choice from the rail.
6-Baby Your The Best (2-1)-Winner of >$200k this year has been either first or second in all seven starts. Dave Miller will likely leave, might get the 2-hole and try to reverse the order of finish from the last race.

Race 7

1-Ms Savannah Belle (6/5)-Appears to be a cut above the rest and will likely be the odd-on favorite. Major player will probably be singled on many Pick 4 tickets.
3-Guinevere Hall (6-1)-Could be better on smaller ovals but is in sharp form and might be overlooked at the windows. Will use and with a good journey should add some juice to the gimmicks. Could surprsie at a nice price if #1 is having an off night.

Race 8

1-Madame Sherry (6-1)-Father Patrick filly makes first start on a larger oval. Does like to come off cover and this race could set up for a closer.
2-Ramona Hill (1-1)-Lightly raced filly looks like a good one as she tries to make it a perfect 4 for 4. Might get on the engine and not look back.
4-Panem (5/2)-Has been facing stakes fillies all year and has done well. Should be in the hunt and could get a pocket trip behind #2.

Race 9

1-Firebby A (12-1)-7-year-old makes 2nd start off the bench, likes to win and shows a 151.1 mark at Wbsb. McCarthy should have in play early and looks like a live price shot.
5-Gold Class N (7/2)-This will be a test in first start at Lex. But has been on fire at HoP winning 6 straight and now gets Tetrick to try for 7 in a row.

My Ticket

Race 6) 1,6

Race 7) 1,3

Race 8) 1,2,4

Race 9) 1,5

Total Ticket Cost) $24 for $1.00

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia