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Friday, October 4: The Red Mile Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 4, 2019

Two-year-old fillies are the headliners at the Red Mile on a 9-race card which begins at 1:00 PM EST. The $1.00 Pick 4 with a $10,000 guaranteed pool begins in Race 6 and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-Gai Waterhouse-Beaten favorite has been sharp and top two finishers from last race aren't in with this crew. Speedy filly draws well to get the top and looks like a major player.
5-Rocknificent-Did move forward down the lane in last and expecting a crisper effort with Tetrick back in the bike. Looking for a quick start and could get the top or a 2-hole trip.

Race 7

3-Madame Sherry-Stayed inside in last, raced close to a quick pace and finished with a good final quarter. Starts inside of main foes and could win at a square price.
7-Queen Of The Hill-Has tailed off but this is a field that can be beat. Needs the right trip and Gingras may look to leave and make another move down the lane to sweep by.
8-Common Sense S-Post makes it more of a challenge, but this gal likes to win and the Svanstedt barn has been doing well. Might leave and if gets the top speed held well on Thursday, it could be sixth picture in 10 starts.

Race 8

3-Sherry Lyns Lady-Program chalk has been very consistent but hasn't raced in Lexington. Shows strong efforts on bigger ovals and will respect the Campbell-Tetrick connection in what appears to be a two horse race.
6-Senorita Rita-Second ML favorite has looked good in all three parimutuel starts, can't find a reason to expect a drop-off today.

Race 9

1-Gold Class N-2-1 program chalk made a big move after the first 1/4 in a 54.2 half and then broke stride. Should be bet hard and is in a spot to get the top and not look back, if minds manners.
2-Sweet Diamond-This is second time Lasix and likes the track. Gingras could put in play early and get sucked around. Worth a swing at 12-1 in the morning line, in what could be an open affair.
3-Bounty Lady N-Took the long way around in last and faded under quick fractions. But that was the first start in almost a month. Big track horse does need a trip but looking for better and should be a square price.

My Ticket

Race 6) 2,5

Race 7) 3,7,8

Race 8) 3,6

Race 9) 1,2,3

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $1.00

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia