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Monday, October 14: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 14, 2019

Woodbine Mohawk Park has an 11-race card set to roll featuring 2-year-old fillies battling in Leg 1 of the Harvest Series. My focus will be on the Late Pick 4 sequence which begins in Race 7.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

1-On The Ropes-Takes a good step-up in class but won in fine fashion in 3rd start here and there isn't an absolute standout in this race. So, will string along for another trip to the winner's circle.
6-Superlative-Raced well in the back half after suffering a break in previous start. Will use at 8-1 in the ML and if the pace is quick enough this mare should be rolling late.
7-Shes Got Pizazz-There isn't much gate speed inside so could leave to get the 2-hole behind #1 and stay in the mix down the lane.
8-Blonde Magic-Interesting play at 12-1 in the ML, could win with the right cover and a decent pace. If Jamieson works a good trip, she could add some juice to the gimmicks at the least.

Race 8

2-Kit-Best to respect chances even though she may need to find some cover. Jamieson has options and 5/2 ML chalk should be in the hunt and could win right back.
3-Lady Natasha-Comes off two nice tries from the 9-hole and off those efforts should be bet with McClure. Is a use in a race without a standout but will be looking for first picture in eight starts.
7-Coco Beach De Vie-Tried to come off cover after breaking stride in provious start. Looking for a more aggressive steer and appears to have the speed to pop at a square price.
8-Shiraz Seelster-Comes off two flat efforts, but McNair takes a seat tonight. Three starts back, McNair from the 8-hole got her going down the lane to miss by a whisker at 85-1 in a quick mile.

Race 9

1-Run Director-Filion should get a good seat without much trouble and look to make an early move to take control and not look back.
2-Dream Together-Picked up first win of the year at this class last week and beat #1 from post eight. This mare has banked over $870k, so knows how to win, and is a good spot to score an encore.

Race 10

3-Memo-Battled off a tough trip in first local start and just missed. This colt was mixing it up at the Red Mile with the likes of Greenshoe and other high caliber foes. Looks good here but is only 2-25 lifetime and now faces older.
5-Odd Ball-Came off the bench with an even effort and was first time Lasix. Will respect the Drury-Aucielo combo and look for an improved effort after coming up short as a race time favorite.

My Ticket

Race 7) 1,6,7,8

Race 8) 2,3,7,8

Race 9) 1,2

Race 10) 3,5

Total Ticket Cost) $12.80 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia