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Jon White's 2019 Breeders' Cup Picks

by Jon White

October 30, 2019

Here are my picks for all 14 Breeders' Cup races this Friday and Saturday, November 1 & 2, at historic Santa Anita Park. 

$1 MILLION JUVENILE TURF SPRINT
Friday - Race 5- 4:12PM ET

1. FOUR WHEEL DRIVE (3-1 on the morning line): Ward-trained colt has won by daylight both starts
2. KIMARI (7-2): Ward-trained filly is 3 for 3 in United States
3. A’ALI (6-1): Euro youngster is 3 for 3 when ridden by Dettori
Nice-price danger: CHIMNEY ROCK (10-1): Son of BC Mile winner Artie Schiller

$1 MILLION JUVENILE TURF
Friday - Race 6- 4:52PM ET

1. ARIZONA (5-2): Will appreciate not facing Pinatubo this time
2. DECORATED INVADER (4-1): Won Woodbine's Summer, but trainer 0 for 36 in BC
3. STRUCTOR (5-1): Logical contender off Grade III Pilgrim triumph
Nice-price danger: ANDESITE (12-1): Narrow loss in Pilgrim at 10-1; Rosario a plus

$2 MILLION JUVENILE FILLIES
Friday - Race 7 - 5:32PM ET

1. DONNA VELOCE (3-1): Her debut was a jaw-dropper; now goes longer
2. BRITISH IDIOM (7-2): Dominant 6 1/2-length win in Alcibiades
3. WICKED WHISPER (7-2): Contender following Frizette triumph
Nice-price danger: COMICAL (10-1): Tried hard in narrow Chandelier defeat

$1 MILLION JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
Friday - Race 8 - 6:12PM ET

1. CRYSTALLE (8-1): Miss Grillo runner-up choice in wide-open affair
2. ALBIGNA (9-2): Warrants respect following Group I win in France
3. DAAHYEH (5-1): European shipper first or second in all five starts
Nice-price danger: SHADN (8-1): Looks capable of making noise against these

$2 MILLION JUVENILE
Friday - Race 9 - 7:03PM ET

1. DENNIS’ MOMENT (8-5): He’s displayed brilliance in a.m. and p.m.
2. EIGHT RINGS (2-1): Big Santa Anita win after Del Mar debacle
3. SCABBARD (8-1): Fine try vs. top pick in Churchill’s Iroquois
Nice-price danger: ANNEAU D’OR (15-1): Romped on Golden Gate turf; bred to like dirt

$1 MILLION FILLY & MARE SPRINT
Saturday - Race 4 - 2:55PM ET

1. COVFEFE (2-1): Should win if runs best; must deal with inside post
2. COME DANCING (5-2): Only 2019 defeat came against Midnight Bisou
3. SPICED PERFECTION (4-1): Won at Keeneland despite stumbling at start
Nice-price danger: BELLAFINA (6-1): 6-1-ish odds + 4 for 4 on SA oval = bargain?

$1 MILLION TURF SPRINT
Saturday - Race 5 - 3:33PM ET

1. EDDIE HASKELL (9-2): Consistent Cal-bred gets the slightest of nods
2. PURE SENSATION (5-1): Venerable 8-year-old warrior in good form
3. TOTALLY BOSS (5-1): Totally a tough dude (5 starts, 4 wins in 2019)
Nice-price danger: BELVOIR BAY (12-1): Dandy record on SA turf (9 starts, 6 wins)

$1 MILLION DIRT MILE
Saturday - Race 6 - 4:10PM ET

1. OMAHA BEACH (8-5): This is one very talented equine athlete
2. IMPROBABLE (3-1): Gets revenge for Arkansas Derby defeat?
3. SPUN TO RUN (6-1): Trounced Parx foes and earned 110 Beyer
Nice-price danger: DIAMOND OOPS (15-1): Pulls off upset at juicy price for shrewd trainer?

$2 MILLION FILLY & MARE TURF
Saturday - Race 7 - 4:54PM ET

1. SISTERCHARLIE (8-5): Appears ready to make it 7 straight Grade I wins
2. VASILIKA (8-1): Epic $40,000 claim is 11 for 12 on SA lawn
3. FLEETING (6-1): Nightmarish trips lately; big threat if avoids trouble
Nice-price danger: FANNY LOGAN (15-1): Terrific jockey & trainer team (Dettori & Gosden)

$2 MILLION SPRINT
Saturday - Race 8 - 5:36PM ET

1. MITOLE (9-5): Scintillating Oct. 22 workout by this win machine
2. CATALINA CRUISER (4-1): Lone loss in 8 career starts in 2018 BC Dirt Mile
3. IMPERIAL HINT (4-1): Another BC Sprint try (ran 2nd in 2017, 3rd in 2018)
Nice-price danger: WHITMORE (15-1): Could benefit from rapid pace; has big-money rider

$2 MILLION MILE
Saturday - Race 9 - 6:20PM ET

1. CIRCUS MAXIMUS (3-1): A Group I winner in England & France this year
2. UNI (7-2): Ability to rocket home can be breathtaking
3. GOT STORMY (7-2): Wonderful filly for trainer of mighty Tepin
Nice-price danger: TRUE VALOUR (20-1): Won at 11-1, then 16-1; posts another upset?

$2 MILLION DISTAFF
Saturday - Race 10 - 7:00PM ET

1. MIDNIGHT BISOU (6-5): Completes perfect 8-for-8 campaign in 2019?
2. PARADISE WOODS (5-1): Inconsistent mare could win if runs her best
3. DUNBAR ROAD (6-1): Not on best part of track in Spinster defeat
Nice-price danger: SERENGETI EMPRESS (12-1): Steals race on front end a la Kentucky Oaks?

Note: Midnight Bisou is my most probable winner at this year’s Breeders’ Cup. My most probable winner has won at 12 of the 15 last Breeders’ Cups. These are my most probable Breeders’ Cup winners going back to 2004:

2018 Newspaperofrecord in the Juvenile Fillies Turf (won)
2017 Bolt d’Oro in the Juvenile (finished third)
2016 Dortmund in the Dirt Mile (finished fourth)
2015 Songbird in the Juvenile Fillies (won)
2014 Goldencents in the Dirt Mile (won)
2013 Wise Dan in the Mile (won)
2012 Groupie Doll in the Filly & Mare Sprint (won)
2011 Goldikova in the Mile (won)
2010 Goldikova in the Mile (won)
2009 Zenyatta in the Classic (won)
2008 Zenyatta in the Ladies’ Classic (won)
2007 Midnight Lute in the Sprint (won)
2006 Ouija Board in the Filly & Mare Turf (won)
2005 Ouija Board in the Filly & Mare Turf (finished second)
2004 Ouija Board in the Filly & Mare Turf (won)

$4 MILLION TURF
Saturday - Race 11 - 7:40PM ET

1. BRICKS AND MORTAR (9-5): Going downhill early helps him win at 1 1/2 miles?
2. ANTHONY VAN DYCK (3-1): Won the 240th running of the prestigious Epsom Derby
3. OLD PERSIAN (4-1): Rallied to win 1 1/2-mile Native Dancer in Canada
Nice-price danger: ZULU ALPHA (20-1): Maker one of the best at upsets in big races

$6 MILLION CLASSIC
Saturday - Race 12 - 8:44PM ET

1. VINO ROSSO (4-1): Won Gold Cup in May and might be even better now
2. MCKINZIE (3-1): Does my top 2018 BC Classic pick win it this year?
3. HIGHER POWER (6-1): Probably wins if duplicates Pacific Classic effort
Nice-price danger: SEEKING THE SOUL (20-1): See comment for Zula Alpha in BC Turf and replace 'Maker' with 'Stewart'