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Novemeber 9-Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

November 9, 2019

It's opening night of the fall/winter meet at Cal Expo and there are 12 races scheduled to roll. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 8. That sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

2-Miss Sassy Pants (6-1)-Roland's choice over #3 makes first career start at CalX. Taking a stab this barn will have her ready to go and Roland can work a favorable journey.
5-Magnifique (3-1)-8-year-old is no stranger to Sacramento and has picked up checks at Haw and HoP this summer and fall. Could be more race ready than others as last outing was <3 weeks ago, should be a player.
6-Peekaboo Tattoo (5/2)-Kennedy's choice over #8 has won 6 of 21 here and could take a picture in local debut.

Race 9

5-Lookslikewemadeit (4-1)-Edmonton invader makes 3rd start on Lasix and has a pilot who has won 21% of his drives this year. Last pari-mutuel start was on 10/27 which is the most recent in the field and has won here in the past.
6-Relentless Dancer (5-1)-Drew off by 7-lengths in a sharp qualifier. Kennedy's choice over #5 hasn't raced here before but looks ready to contend in first start since 9-8.
7-Duet (12-1)-Price shot is a fixture at CalX. Could be an interesting play as barn and driver know their way to the winner's circle.

Race 10

2-Usgeneral WA Mann (5-1)-Comes off a nice qualifier and came the last half in 58.2, appears to have the best shot of beating #7.
7-Al's Brief (2-1)-Morning line chalk had a down year in '19 but shows enough speed in past lines for this to be his race to lose. Fits well with this group, has been off since 10-17 but should be tough to beat if fires.

Race 11

3-Sing Along (5/2)-Racing well in the claiming ranks at Aces, now makes 1st start at CalX. Using and hoping will go off above program odds.
4-Marilyn (4-1)-Also comes from Aces and was facing easier company than #3. Does come off a decent qualifier on 11-2 and will respect connections.
5-Dancingonthesand (9/5)-ML chalk looks the part, comes off a nice qualifier and has won 7 of 13 at CalX. Svendsen knows well and looks like a major player.
6-Sweet One (15-1)-First start since 4-27 but comes off a decent qualifier. Looking for some pop in the Pick 4, knows way around Calx and will respect this Plano-Cisco combo.

0.20 Pick 4

Total Bet=$14.40

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