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Sunday, Novemeber 10: Rosecroft Raceway-Potomac Pace Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

November 10, 2019

Tonight, the fourth annual Potomac Pace Invitational is the headliner of a 13-race card at Rosecroft Raceway. The $100,000 stake features 2018 Horse of the Year McWicked as well as American History and Dorsoduro Hanover. The eight-horse field contains a total of four millionaires and there is also a $10,000 bonus up for grabs. If the track record of 1:47.3 set by Keystone Velocity in the 2017 Pace is broken the new record holder pockets and extra $10,000.

Xpressbet account holders who register will receive a $5 bonus for every $50 win or place bet made on the Rosecroft card. Show betting is excluded but there is no limit on how many $5 bonuses you can receive!

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9-Potomac Pace Invitational-Purse $100,000

1-Dealt A Winner (10-1)-Does fine work on the 5/8's but issue is this post might not be an advantage. Probably won't be able to leave a fast as a few others. That spells trouble but does have Dave Miller between the pipes.

2-American History (3-1)-Most likely will blast out just like in the BC Open Pace and get the top or the two-hole. This is the first start at Rosecroft and if takes to the surface should be a major player.

3-Dorsoduro Hanover (4-1)-Runner-up to #2 in last, did a lot of work to grab the lead into 53.3 half and ended up fading down the lane. May duck in behind #2 and take a two-hole trip. Looks dangerous and the trip could be the difference.

4-Endeavor (12-1)-Hoosier Park invader usually has a problem stepping up to face top company. Maybe Tetrick works a great trip and hits the bottom of the Superfecta.

5-This Is The Plan (5-1)-The start of this race should be something to see. If Burke trainee brings his "A" game, he could be the fastest off the gate. Has had excuses in last couple, but best to not overlook now and could take a picture at a square price.

6-Courtly Choice (6-1)-Hasn't been in top form but as a 4-year old winner of >$1.3 million there is no need to apologize for being here. But would need a form reversible to be a main player tonight.

7-McWicked (5/2)-One of my all-time favorites gets a tough post draw but has been known to grind out big wins. The pace should be very quick and that could put the champ in play down the lane.

8-Slick Tony (15-1)-Local favorite has a four-race win streak and has won four of five at RcR. That's all good but from this post, against this field, the deck is stacked against Tony.

My play is to use #5-This Is The Plan up and down in exactas with #2, #3 and #7. I would also consider betting #5 to win if he is overlooked at the windows.

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia