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Saturday, November 16: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

November 16, 2019

Cal Expo has a 10-race card set to roll this evening. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 7 and will be my focus. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

4-Cenalta Glory (2-1)-3-year-old could be ready to roll in first start back in town. Record here is good and connections know the way to the winner's circle.
6-Rocket Power (8-1)-Last week had a 57.2 back half in first start off the bench. Should be tighter and might be sitting on a big try.
8-Villa For Rent (15-1)-Swinging for a price and is second time Lasix. Last start, off a layoff was not bad and now Svendsen steers. Can rally off cover but could also leave and race close to the top.

Race 8

1-Joltin Joe (4-1)-Nice effort in first start back and now is second time Lasix. Kennedy should put in play early and looks to be a player.
3-California Rock (3-1)-Loses Plano as he drives his own. Comes back after an easy win as an odds-on favorite with Svendsen in the bike. If duplicates the same effort it could be enough for another picture.
8-Rue Hanover (7/2)-Lackey owns, drives and trains and he had his filly ready to roll in last. Best to respect after a sharp win but post is a challenge.

Race 9

2-Zachariahs Honor (5-1)-Didn't get used in first start of the meet but now drops in for a tag. This could be go time for 8-time winner in '19.
4-Western Devil (9/2)-Similar to #2 but also gets a positive driver change and has won 11 of 55 at CalX. My two plays have the longest odds in this short field.

Race 10

4-Relentless Dancer (5/2)-Won last week with a 57.1 back half and this crew isn't any better.
6-Lookslikewemadeit (6-1)-Lasix has not kicked in yet but was driven aggressively in last and faded. Comes off a rough trip and now gets a boost because Plano will steer. Useable and should be a square price.
7-No Guarantees (3-1)-Took the long way around in last and still past horses down the lane. Did face tougher at Aces and best to respect versus this crew.

My Ticket

Race 7) 4,6,8

Race 8) 1,3,8

Race 9) 2,4

Race 10) 4,6,7

Total Ticket Cost) $10.80 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia