Log In

Friday, November 29: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

November 29, 2019

Tonight, Cal Expo has a 12-race card scheduled with the 0.20 Pick 4 starting in Race 8. That sequence has a 16% takeout with a $25,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

4-Sir Mammo (5/1)-This will be the 1st start off the bench but raced a quick back half in a qualifier and will bet that he is ready to roll. If so, fits well versus this group and could be a square price.
5-Bettor's Outlaw (3-1)-Lukewarm program chalk should be in the hunt with this crew and Magee can put in play early from this post.
8-Coz And Effect (7/2)-Will leave the #1 off the ticket and go to this dropper. 5-year-old knows his way to the winner's circle at CalX and could be sitting on a big try in 3rd start back.

Race 9

6-Shock N Awe (8-1)-Looking for a price, gets a post edge on top foes and the two starts at CalX have been sharp.
8-Delightfully Wild (4-1)-Aggressive try in 1st local start and was off 21-days. This mare knows how to win and should be tighter tonight.
10-Dancingonthesand (4-1)-This gal is a cut above everyone else, winner of 9 of 15 here and 10-26 lifetime. The post should help the price but will make it more difficult.

Race 10

4-Dontcloseyoureyes (6-1)-A solid threat at this level and has raced well in last two starts. Could be forwardly placed from this post and Magee should keep in play.
5-Gordy Again (3-1)-Came off cover to beat #4 who had the 8-hole in last. Now makes 2nd start at CalX and should be in the mix for an encore with the right trip.
6-Prairie Cowgirl (6-1)-Beaten favorite gets some post relief as last start was from the 9-hole. This is the 4th start off the bench and has raced well in last 3. Best to not overlook and could be a better price this week.

Race 11

5-Buzz Light (3-1)-This will be the 3rd start since coming to town and both efforts were okay. Gets post relief and was facing better this summer at Aces. Barn has been going well and should be in the hunt for a picture.
7-Senga Nitro (15-1)-Got the jump on the field in a 1.5-mile race last week and never looked back. Actually, has improved in all 3 CalX starts and at 15-1 in the ML is well worth a swing.
8-Bunkerhill Bill (8-1)-Doesn't win much but comes off a victory when drawing off by over 4-lengths. Steps-up a notch but best to not overlook. In a new barn now and hadn't raced since 7/28, could be even better this time so will string along.

My Ticket

Race 8) 4,5,8

Race 9) 6,8,10

Race 10) 4,5,6

Race 11) 5,7,8

Total Ticket Cost) $16.20 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia