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Sunday, December 01: Northfield Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

December 1, 2019

Tonight, Northfield Park has two Pick 4 sequences with $10,000 guaranteed pools scheduled on a 15-race card. My focus will be on the Early 0.50 pick 4 which begins in Race 7.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

2-St Lads Mystic (3-1)-Makes 3rd start in new barn that has a good batting average in last 30 days. Tossing last in the slop and will put on the ticket but is 1-29 and will use others as well.
3-It's Gest Me (9/2)-Makes 3rd start in new barn and beat easier in last. This will be a more difficult task but will use at a square price from this post.
4-Ravishing Virgin (9/2)-Has been off for 2-weeks but now drops to a live spot to snatch 9th win of the year. Might be overlooked at the windows, could cash the biggest check with a good steer.
9-Melanie's Filly (5/2)-Only 1-25 this year but drops to a soft spot. Could get an overdue win if Allard can work a trip from the 2nd tier.

Race 8

1-Rosie Kit (6-1)-Only 1-20 on an off-track, so will toss last. Makes 2nd start off a sick scratch and has a chance to post a win if gets the right trip.
7-Chitty Bang Bang (3/2)-Morning line chalk looks the part. Should like the company and beat $8k claimers on 11/16.

Race 9

3-Mr Nixon (2-1)-Raced well coming off a sick scratch to be 2nd. Should be tighter now and is 2nd time Lasix. Looks like a major player.
5-Me And Mrs Jones (8/5)-Likes to finish 2nd more than 1st but this isn't a deep group and may have found a field to beat.

Race 10

1-The Kop (4-1)-This is the right level to take a picture and the driver change to Smith shouldn't hurt.
2-Montero Blue Chip (5/2)-Veteran has been off since 8/17 but qualifier was fine. This is a soft spot if 9-year-old can fire off the bench.
4-Maradona (3-1)-Sharp win from the 7-hole at this level and best to respect chances for an encore.
5-Four Diamonds (6-1)-Tossing last from the 8-hole and previous efforts put this guy in the mix and the barn has been doing well.

My Ticket

Race 7) 2,3,4,9

Race 8) 1,7

Race 9) 3,5

Race 10) 1,2,4,5

Total Ticket Cost) $32 for $0.50

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia