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Friday, January 3: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

January 3, 2020

Cal Expo has 13-races scheduled with the 0.20 Pick 4 starting in Race 9. That sequence will be my focus, it has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

4-Bettor In The Bank (8-1)-Even effort in last on a "good" track but went the back half in 56.2. Draws well and knows how to win here. Should be forwardly placed and could be sitting on a big try.
5-Heza Real Diamond (4-1)-Steps way up after rolling home by 6 1/2. 4-year-old has the speed to compete with this bunch and 1/2 the field is moving up in class.
7-Marced Magic (6-1)-Didn't have the best trip on an off track and faded late. Best to respect tonight because was off 20-days before last outing,
9-Allmyx'sliventexas (7/2)-Hung out in the first 1/4 in last, then was locked in on the rail and broke after hitting wheels. Seemed to have trouble grabbing the track but won't dismiss as this is the only true Open company horse in the field.

Race 10

1-Flash Me Baby (3-1)-In good form, was a winning favorite in last and fits well again. Seems to have trouble stringing wins together but from this post it can happen.
5-Tiyaga (10-1)-Last 4 starts have been on an "off" track and is worth a swing at 10-1 in the ML. Looking for 1st win at the meet but best to keep in mind the 0-14 record on an "off" track.

Race 11

1-Cowboys Dirtyboots (4-1)-Drops to a spot to shine and Roland should be able to stay in the hunt versus this bunch.
2-Five Card Draw N (7/5)-ML chalk is also at a level to throw best shot. But not sold on the 11-year-old and will use and shoot against.
4-Ima Tank (4-1)-Took the long way around in last and now Plano takes a seat. Positive driver change could lead to the biggest check for the beaten favorite.

Race 12

2-A Bay Bay (8-1)-Old timer doesn't take many pictures these days but makes 4th start for new barn and fits. Last 2 races have been on an "off' track which probably hasn't helped chances.
4-Somkinda Hanover (8-1)-Purchased for $2,000 in mid-November and now makes 2nd start for new connections. Finished well in last and could build off that effort to pop at a nice price.
6-Ethan Hanover (6-1)-Good try last week when dropped to this level. Fox should be able to work a trip from this post and could surprise at a square price.
8-Gunny Wislon (7/2)-Another who raced better in last start and will respect chances to stay good. Post could help the price.

My Ticket

Race 9) 4,5,7,9

Race 10) 1,5,

Race 11) 1,2,4

Race 12) 2,4,6,8

Total Ticket Cost) $19.20 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia