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Monday, January 6: Woodbine Mohawk Park Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

January 6, 2020

Woodbine Mohawk Park has a big 12-race card scheduled for tonight with the 0.20 Pick 4 set to begin in Race 4. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

1-Young Drunk Punk (8-1)-Key here will be how Roy can gets Punk into the game. Slow starter may be compromised by the rail. That said, most everyone will be using #6 and #7 and if the pace is hot enough Roy could fly by late.
6-Julerica (3-1)-Has followed cover and pulled away to win last two and will likely look to follow the same script.
7-Cheapskate Hanover (4-1)-Raced big in last start and was put in play only to be caught by #6. Those two should be battling again and it seems like Drury will be leaving.

Race 5

1-Osborne Seelster (10-1)-Moves up after a sharp win on the engine and will likely try the same route. Most of these are bumping up in class, will respect chances from the rail at this price.
6-Exit Smiling (5-1)-Filion's choice over #8 and #10 had a nice start off the bench. Makes 2nd start for new barn and if speed doesn't hold could be in a spot to pop at a square price.
10-Cinnabar Dragon (3-1)-Drops from NW8k and knows how to win. The 2nd tier start could work out nicely if #1 blasts out and carries the pace to the lane.

Race 6

4-Big Rich (5/2)-Has been camera shy but this is a spot to shine. Roy should work a trip from this post and has been facing much tougher.
5-Major Muscle (5-1)-Has been stuck at this class without a win since October but has looked better in last two with McClure between the pipes. He sticks again tonight, the post draw is better so will use and hope the pace is lively.

Race 7

5-Our Art And Heaven (5-1)-3rd start for Shepherd, 2nd start at Wbsb and seems to be liking the change of scenery. Will look for McNair to provide a good steer and add some juice to the Pick 4 payout.
8-Candid Cameron (7/2)-Beat these on 12/19 for new barn and that was from post 7. Don't really see a reason to abandon here.
9-St Lad's Cash (6-1)-Jamieson's choice over #3 and #7 looks to be in the hunt but will need the right trip. Lasix appears to be helping and so will a brisk pace.

My Ticket

Race 4) 1,6,7

Race 5) 1,6,10

Race 6) 4,5

Race 7) 5,8,9

Total Ticket Cost) $10.80 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia