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Al Cimaglia: January 17-Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

January 17, 2020

Tonight, the 0.20 Pick 4 at Cal Expo starts in Race 8 and will be my focus. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool and a 16% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

3-Cowboys Dirty Boots (8-1)-Tossing the 1.5 mile race last week and will look for a price. This race could set-up nicely if Roland finds the top or 2-hole without emptying the gas tank. Winner of 10 of 56 starts at CalX could surprise.
5-Vicious Aloicious (3-1)-Drops to the same level as last win and Kennedy takes a seat again tonight. Will need a trip and from this post versus this crew, that could happen.
6-Mister Hat (7/2)-Camera shy plus 4 of last 5 have been on an off-track. Fits and can close so if Plano gets into striking range at the top of the lane chances for success improve.

Race 9

1-Heza A Real Diamond (5/2)-Comes off a winning effort and a big mile, but does lose Plano. Roland should put in play early and best to respect chances despite moving up in class.
3-Marced Magic (5-1)-Has been in the hunt in last 3 all versus Open company. If Magee can avoid a very slow start and find a nice seat, he should be rolling late passing foes down the lane.
8-Allmyx'sliventexas (3-1)-Rolled by most of these last week from the 7-hole and will probably be looking to get on the engine. Loves to win here, should be bet down and needs to be respected but will look to beat.

Race 10

1-Uringoodhands (7/2)-Defeated 6 from this field last week from the 2-hole. Kennedy returns and don't see a reason to discount chances tonight.
2-Usgeneral W A Mann (8-1)-Had post-10 last week and came up with a big 56.2 back half and almost caught #1. Looks like a main player and could pop at a square price.
8-Best Dream Seeker (5-1)-Is only 2 for the last 42 but did take a picture on 1/3. Plano was aboard then and is back now, so will use and hope there is an honest pace and cover flow is good.

Race 11

2-Two Beat (7/2)-7-year-old is looking for first picture at CalX but had 13-wins in 2019. Gets a positive driver change and drops to a soft spot.
7-Herecomesthethundr (8-1)-Drops after racing 4 out of 5 on an off-track. Off-track record is only 1 for 18 and now Kennedy is between the pipes. Could be sitting on a big try at. Winnless in '19 but entire field had only 28 wins.
9-He Grins Again (3-1)-Has been getting checks versus tougher. Positive driver change with Wiseman in the bike. Post could be a challenge but should like the company. Careful if rains come into play as is winless in 24 tries on an off-track.

My Ticket

Race 8) 3,5,6

Race 9) 1,3,8

Race 10) 1,2,8

Race 11) 2,7,9

Total Ticket Cost) $16.20 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia