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Friday, January 24: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

January 24, 2020

Cal Expo starts the weekend with a 12-race card. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 8 and will be my focus. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool and a 16% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

2-Lookslikewemadeit (9/2)-Much improved in last start when Roland got the lines and he returns tonight. Moves in from the 9-hole and could be sitting on a big try.
7-Wizzel Stix (8-1)-Broke poorly last week and couldn't make up enough ground into a dull pace. Roberts is back for his 2nd spin and looking for a more aggressive drive.
8-Princess Decline (5/2)-Comes off a disappointing effort after being bet down to 9/5 but was off since 11/9. Now makes the 2nd start for Hernandez-Plano and should be a better price.

Race 9

2-A Bay Bay (8-1)-Not my favorite horse but 13-year-old gets Wiseman back and he knows well. Needs a trip but this isn't a very deep field and should be a price.
3-Gunny Wilson (4-1)-Doesn't win often but gets some needed post relief and looks to be a threat versus this bunch.
4-Rocknroll Jewel (6-1)-Shouldn't have to work too hard to get on the engine and may not look back. Should like the company and can offer a square price.
8-Uringoodhands (8/5)-Looking a for a 3-peat and would have a better feeling from an inside post position. Regardless, barn has been rolling and will likely be bet hard, using but looking to beat.

Race 10

1-Reys N A Ruckus (3-1)-Was no match for these last week and a similar effort will likely earn another picture taking opportunity.
4-Fear Factor (4-1)-Camera shy 5-year-old could get a seat behind #1 and trip out. Positive driver change with Plano returning and he just missed on 1/3 against some of the same.
6-Fred And Roz (5-1)-Risky play because of having breaks in last two. But can beat this field with the same effort as on 1/4 when smoked the 2nd half in 55.4. Worth the risk because pace could be lively.

Race 11

4-Misspanderosajones (5-1)-Gutsy win in last, Magee sticks and fits well with this group, best to respect.
5-Gordy Again (4-1)-May have found a beatable field and Longo is back between the pipes. Does need a trip but from this post that can happen and will likely be put in play early on.
6-Hi Fidelity (7/2)-Drops to a spot to shine and Plano will take a spin and he knows well. Should be out and winging, looking for a big bounce back effort.

My Ticket

Race 8) 2,7,8

Race 9) 2,3,4,8

Race 10) 1,4,6

Race 11) 4,5,6

Total Ticket Cost) $21.60 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia