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Friday, January 31: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Xpressbet

January 31, 2020

The Friday night 0.20 Pick 4 at Cal Expo is set to roll in Race 8. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

1-Uringoodhands (3-1)-Winner of 3 straight moves up and last was too good to discount chances for another picture tonight. Likes the engine and should be put in play early to get the top spot.
2-Ragin's Flight (5-1)-Gets post relief, Svendsen is back aboard and had a tough trip in last but kept working. Looks like a player and could offer a square price.
7-Western Devil (7/2)-Beat the $6k claimers last week but took the lead off a soft .29 opening quarter. But best to respect chances to repeat, likes the track and has the gate speed to be on top or in the 2-hole behind #1.

Race 9

5-Fred And Roz (4-1)Last start came off 2 breaks but was used hard and took control only to fade late. Gets a good draw and could make an easy lead. Could win if minds manners, using and will hope 4-year-old stays flat.
7-Mystical Storm (6-1)-Best to not overlook winner of 4 of last 6 for hot barn. Form has stayed sharp for the last 6 weeks as adding Lasix has worked some magic.
8-Fear Factor (6-1)-Plano returns for a 2nd spin and last was a better than previous starts. Needs the right trip and an honest pace but the price should be right to take a swing.
9-Na Na Na Baatman (12-1)-Another who needs an honest pace and the right trip. But this feels like a race to spread and look for a big price. Doesn't win often but this isn't a field of all-stars.

Race 10

2-Senga Nitro (5-1)-Drops out of Open company and could benefit from the inside post draw. Boyd will probably be out and winging looking for the top. Should enjoy the company and looks like a player.
8-Timetoplaythegame (8-1)-Tossing last at 1.5 miles and now gets necessary class relief. Wiseman could leave, get a nice seat and a close-up trip at a nice price. Likes to win, best to not overlook.
9-Marced Magic (4-1)-Has been battling well versus Open company and should be rolling late if pace is quick. Magee needs to work the right trip and post helps the price.

Race 11

1-Crookshanks (5/2)-Gets post relief in 4th start since arriving from Nfld. Loses Svendsen to #4 but is in good hands with Plano. Not crazy about the ML odds but should be in the hunt in an ugly race.
2-Daatrumpster (2-1)-1st start off the bench after a good qualifier and tries Lasix for the 2nd time. Best to respect connections as barn is batting 21% in last 30 days and was Kennedy's choice over #7.
4-Villa For Rent (5-1)-Svendsen's choice and he knows well. Looking for a more aggressive steer and to be put in play early. Chances improve if the track is fast.

My Ticket

Race 8) 1,2,7

Race 9) 5,7,8,9

Race 10) 2,8,9

Race 11) 1,2,4

Total Ticket Cost) $21.60 for $0.20

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