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Friday, February 7: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

February 7, 2020

Cal Expo starts the weekend with a 0.20 Pick 4 that has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout. The sequence begins in Race 8 and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

1-Blue Star Maverick (6-1)-Svendsen's choice over the 7/8 gets needed post relief. Got on the engine 2 starts back and wired this same class in 1.52 from post #6. Looking for a similar script tonight.
6-To The Limit (10-1)-Plested's other entry and was Wiseman's choice over #1. Fits with this kind, should be a decent price and best to respect.
9-Marced Magic (7/2)-Dropped from Opens to this class in last and started slowly from the same post but was off 2-weeks. Smoked the last half in 55.3 and still finished 6th. Using and betting Magee is more aggressive from the start.

Race 9

3-Fred And Roz (7/2)-Svendsen trainee is a work in progress and has had trouble finishing off the last 2 miles. Has stayed flat in last 2 starts and might be better rated here.
5-Marc Mellow Man (5-1)-Makes 2nd start off the bench and this is the 2nd race at CalX. Looking for Roberts to work a smooth journey and could surprise at a square price.
7-Mystical Storm (6-1)-Needs a trip but is in fine form and has battled in last 3 starts. Should be in the mix again at a solid price.
8-Fear Action (6-1)-Slow starter shouldn't be too disadvantaged with the outside draw. Plano needs to find a live cover flow and get a quick pace. Both could happen as there are a few leavers in the mix.

Race 10

5-Relentless Dancer (6-1)-9-year-old doesn't race much anymore but fits with these. Also, comes off a good try in last start. Will use and try to beat the program chalk #10.
8-La Diva De Rosa (5-1)-Drops and has had excuses in last 2 starts. Cutting can get this mare to roll late in the mile and has no issues passing foes.
9-Along Came Jane (8-1)-Plano needs to work a good steer as this mare is trip dependent. Start will be key but has a shot if can get into striking range at the top of the lane.

Race 11

3-Beckys Dreamboat (6-1)-13-year-old makes 2nd start since missing almost 2 months. Did have a decent finish to the mile last week considering the time off. Should be tighter now and looking for a better effort.
4-Rockin Eddie (4-1)-Knox takes the lines for the Fox barn. Looking for an early move and could catch a 2-hole ride behind #5.
5-Imma Tank (3-1)-Plano's choice over #6 will likely leave and look to get on the engine. Camera shy 7-year-old may have found a beatable field.

My Ticket

Race 8) 1,6,9

Race 9) 3,5,7,8

Race 10) 5,8,9

Race 11) 3,4,5

Total Ticket Cost) $21.60 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia