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Friday, February 14: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

February 14, 2020

Tonight, the 0.20 Pick 4 at Cal Expo starts in Race 8. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

1-Wildcat Bobby (6-1)-Even effort at this class last week and Fox returns to drive the 13-year-old who fits with these. Looking for a square price and that the regular pilot provides a more aggressive drive.
5-Cowboys Dirtyboots (9/2)-Longo takes a seat as last effort was better and has beaten this kind before. May look to save ground and use one move to sweep by but has gate speed to leave as well.
6-Imma Tank (3-1)-Camera shy but was Plano's choice over #2 and should be in the hunt at the wire.
8-Gravelsinmytravel (7/2)-Went the last half in 56.1 in 2nd start off the bench. Looking for Magee to find live cover and should be tighter tonight.

Race 9

2-Rockin Eddie (8-1)-Fell just short at this level on 1/31 so can compete here. Could get sucked around and pop at nice odds.
3-A And C Artist (12-1)-This is another price shot who might enjoy the added distance. Marshall could provide a smooth trip and pass foes down the lane to light up the board.
6-Mystic Ruler (7/2)-Roland sticks after an odds-on win versus easier. Is trip dependent and only 1-13 at CalX but does know how to win and best to respect.
9-Beaus Cowboy (8-1)-Kennedy knows well and can get the Cowboy to pass foes down the lane. May like the added distance and should offer some juice to the sequence.

Race 10

6-Key Word (3-1)-Drops to spot to shine if Longo can put into striking range at the top of stretch. Short field should help chances for a picture.
7-Western Devil (5/2)-Beat $6k claimers 2 straight last month and now drops to the same level. Looks like a major player. Plano returns to steer, and he knows how to put into play.

Race 11

4-Fred And Roz (3-1)-Steps-up after an easy win on the engine as a big chalk. Has been bet hard in last 2 but now the price should better, and recent form has been sharp.
5-Platinum Time (7/2)-Has raced well at this class and looking for a similar effort again. Might leave and look to duck-in behind #4 and could trip out.
6-Custards Dungeon (4-1)-0-17 in 2019 and has come out like a much different horse winning 3 of 4 this year. Kennedy's back after missing last week when stepping up to this class. Looking for a better trip to start a new win streak.

My Ticket

Race 8) 1,5,6,8

Race 9) 2,3,6,9

Race 10) 6,7

Race 11) 4,5,6

Total Ticket Cost) $19.20 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia