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Saturday, February 15: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

February 15, 2020

The 0.50 Early Pick 4 at the Meadowlands this evening starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Saying Grace N (8-1)-Tetrick is in the bike, so a positive driver change and get post relief from the 9-hole. Does appear to fit but needs the right steer. Using with the driver change and thinking there's a close-up trip in the cards.
3-Bell I No (5/2)-Stepped-up to this level last week and raced the short way around to finish 2nd. That effort was after skipping a start, looks like a major player as Miller could be more aggressive this evening.
7-Mindtrip (5-1)-Callahan chose #5 and so Gingras takes a spin. That change signals a blast out to get on the engine, which is usually a better formula for this 7-year-old. Using instead of #6 the 2-1 program chalk.

Race 7

1-Revelry (7/2)-Fits here plus Tetrick is between the pipes and he has won with this gelding before. Going from the 9-hole to the rail and has the gate speed to start well. Could take his 2nd picture at the Big M in 6 starts.
4-Machiavelli (3-1)-This is a soft spot for dropper who comes off a 10-win year in 2019. But not liking the fact the Surick trainee is 0-15 in East Rutherford. Thinking Miller will make an early move to the top and take an overdue picture at the Big M.

Race 8

1-Jet Airway (5-1)-Beat the $20k claimers handily on 2/1 and now appears to have drawn into a favorable condition. Callahan's choice over #4 does well at the Big M and may offer a square price.
4-Party Boy (8-1)-Loses Callahan and Tetrick steers and finally draws well. Probably will be put in play early and has the speed to cash the top check. Looking for a nice price in this race and will leave #8-#9, the ML chalks off the ticket.
5-Statement Made A (9/2)-Got on the engine and didn't look back versus easier. Like #1 has skipped a start but McCarthy will be steering. Small barn has been hot, best to respect because another top effort puts this gelding in the hunt.

Race 9

2-Crusades (10-1)-Bumps up a couple of notches after a sharp score. This post draw shouldn't hurt chances, and Gingras is back to steer Burke trainee who should be a solid price.
6-Sams Triple Crown (9/2)-Stuck with the 9-hole in last 2 and now Callahan gets the call. This will be the 4th start off the bench, 3rd straight start at the Big M and could be sitting on a big try.
7-Stendahl Hanover (7/2)-Beaten even money chalk made an early move when dropped to this level. Maybe a different script will be followed tonight as he usually does come off cover.
8-Hoo Nien A (8-1)-Probably will need the right trip and pace to win from this post but this is a race without a standout. Best to respect an honest horse who is at the right level to be there at the wire.

My Ticket

Race 6) 1,3,7

Race 7) 1,4

Race 8) 1,4,5

Race 9) 2,6,7,8

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $0.50

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia