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Monday, February 17: Mohawk Park Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

February 17, 2020

The 0.20 Pick 5 kicks off the card at Woodbine Mohawk Park. The sequence has a $75,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

2-Emily Antoinette (4-1)-Raced well in defeat coming off a sick scratch against a tough winner. Looks like it could be picture time but doesn't standout well above the others.
5-Forged In Fire (8-1)-Drew off by >10 lengths at FlmD and now tries the big track. Fits into this condition because of earnings. May continue winning ways off of last confidence builder.
6-Hoya Saxa (10-1)-Gets a new set of hands in JMac and looking for a price. Was too far back into a slow half and the race before got on the engine and faded. Maybe finds the sweet spot and gets an honest pace and rolls by late.
9-Up And Trending (8-1)-Post draw doesn't help but comes off a nice qualifier and stayed flat with a 58.3 back half. Here's another with some ability and this filly may be ready for a big try.

Race 2

1-Hammering Haley (2-1)-14-time winner in 2019 makes 2nd start off a claim for Auciello. Finished 3rd to some tough mares in last and looks like a major player tonight.
6-Lucky Player (7/2)-Makes 1st start for Cullen barn and Henry steers. Camera shy 7-year-old is in good form and is a solid threat with any improvement off the claim.

Race 3

4-TLF Royal Lake (3-1)-4-year-old makes 3rd career start and does like to trot in the back half of miles. Maybe McClure can avoid a very sluggish start and if fractions are swift chances go up.
9-Charmbo Prince (8-1)-Makes 3rd start and has been sharp in both outings. Trotted the back half in .58 in winning last as an odds-on chalk. As long as the fractions are honest chances for a repeat are good.

Race 4

2-Tomy Terror (5-1)-Was used hard from the 7-hole and got the top but faded late. That was a sharp effort and a new tactic. Should be put in play early and can pop at a square price with a decent trip.
7-Casimir Overdrive (2-1)-Claimed again and posted another win. Now starts for the Johnson barn and Roy will be looking for some cover and then try to pull away down the lane.

Race 5

1-Mr Contestant (9/2)-Drops into a spot to shine and could be put in play from the first call. Looking for a big try and might get the 2-hole trip behind #2.
2-Hockey Hanover (7/2)-Thinking the front end will hold-up better than it did with this crew last time. Should be bet and can probably get the top without much strain.

My Ticket

Race 1) 2,5,6,9

Race 2) 1,6

Race 3) 4,9

Race 4) 2,7

Race 5) 1,2

Total Ticket Cost) $12.80 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia