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Friday, February 28: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

February 28, 2020

The 0.20 Pick 4 at Cal Expo this evening is set to begin in Race 7. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

2-Gravelsinmytravel (5-1)-9-year-old needs the right trip and starts slowly. The pace could be brisk and in 4th local start, might be set to roll by down the lane.
3-To The Limit (7/2)-Beaten chalk didn't get the best of trips and couldn't make up ground down the lane. Steps-up a notch but has beaten better when dialed on high. Plano steers and with the right trip it could be picture time.
8-Contemporay Legend (5/2)-Program chalk drops to a spot to shine. Kennedy's choice over #5 is a major threat with a live cover flow. Kennedy could also leave as there isn't a lot of gate speed inside.

Race 8

1-Wizzel Stix (6-1)-Will toss last effort as Roberts is back and he has driven a few times before. Looking for a more aggressive steer and could get the top and steal a quarter.
3-Bunkerhill Jill (3-1)-Camera shy mare did race the last 1/2 in 57.1 in previous start after being off for 7-weeks. Looking for a big try tonight and the Wiseman barn has been rolling.
5-Brian's Magic Girl (3-1)-Was claimed for $7,200 on 1/4 and since then has been racing over its head. Now takes a good drop and this looks like the time to cash the biggest check.

Race 9

1-Bettor In The Bank (5-1)-Went out for jog last week from the 8-hole and is back against the same company. Looking for a more serious effort and starting from the rail should help.
2-Marced Magic (4-1)-Dropped out of the Open class to this level in last. Tried to get on the engine and not look back. That was an unusual tactic and it didn't work. Magee sticks and may look to come off cover tonight.
4-Blue Star Maverick (5-1)-Sizzled the back half in 54.1 but came up empty. Could race closer to the top of stack and might be sitting on a big try .
6-Bunker Hill Bill (6-1)-Comes off 2-second place finishes and has been right there in quick miles. Wasn't Magee's choice but Roberts might be able to squeeze a bit more juice out of this veteran and pop at a square price.

Race 10

1-Cenalta Glory (9/2)-Last race was on 2/1 but has shown to come back well after time off. Plano's choice over the 3 & 5 is a 9-time winner in 23 starts at CalX. Should like the company and best to not overlook.
4-Custards Dungeon (4-1)-Started the year with 3-straight wins and has had excuses in last 3 starts. Will respect connections and could get 1st win at this level.
9-Marc Mellow Man (7/2)-Post draw could hurt but thinking the price will be better than the morning line. Rolled the last half in 55.4 and Roberts takes over here and he could put in play sooner.

My Ticket

Race 7) 2,3,8

Race 8) 1,3,5

Race 9) 1,2,4,6

Race 10) 1,4,9

Total Ticket Cost) $21.60 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia