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Friday, March 13: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

March 13, 2020

Tonight the 0.20 Pick 4 at Cal Expo begins in Race 8. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

6-Cenalta Glory (9/2)-Comes off a rough trip versus better last week. Has a big shot to win if races back to 2/28 start when she drew off by 5 in 1:53. Drops and has won 10 of 25 at CalX, looks like a player at a square price.
7-Magnifique (2-1)-Has been trying hard and now drops in 3rd start off the bench. Team Plano entry should be in it from start to finish but won't offer any value.

Race 9

1-Bettor In The Bank (3-1)-Has been facing tougher and drops again looking for a picture. Kennedy's pick over #4 and winner of 23 out of 59 CalX starts might have found a spot to wake up.
2-Fox Valley Hoss (10-1)-Plano's choice over #3 has raced well versus better. Plano has had success with this 6-year-old in the past, using and hoping the morning line accurately represents the post time odds.
9-Bunkerhill Bill (7/2)-Has been in the hunt while racing up at NW3500 and now may be in a spot to seal the deal. There isn't much gate speed, Roberts will likely leave and could get the top rather easily. Should fare better at this level.

Race 10

5-Timetoplaythegame (3-1)-Beat 4 from this field last week off an advantageous trip. Kennedy's choice over #6, which he had driven to 2 straight wins, should be forwardly placed and is threat to win right back.
7-Mister Hat (7/2)-Plano left last week and couldn't hold on for the win. This time he could look to duck and come off cover. Mister needs the right trip and is camera shy but best to respect versus this crew.

Race 11

4-Stylemaster (10-1)-Offers a price and will need everything to fall in place but Plano can provide a sharp steer. Looking for this veteran to race close to the top and then make one big move down the lane.
5-Ethan Hanover (5/2)-Drops to the basement but it's hard to be confident because 11-year-old has trouble passing foes down the lane. Should be in the hunt but will also look to others with more value.
8-Sin Machqueen (6-1)-Has been off since 1/3 and tuned-up with a nice qualifier last week. 0-7 in Sacramento but is fresh and drops into a soft spot. Fits with this bunch as long as Cutting provides a smooth journey.

My Ticket

Race 8) 6,7

Race 9) 1,2,9

Race 10) 5,7

Race 11) 4,5,8

Total Ticket Cost) $7.20 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia