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Friday, March 20: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

March 20, 2020

Tonight, Cal Expo has a $30,000 guaranteed pool for the 0.20 Pick 4. The sequence begins in Race 8, it has a 16% takeout and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

2-Rockin Eddie (12-1)-Willing to take at a swing with Eddie at this level. Barn has been doing well, now Magee takes the lines and that's a positive. Needs a trip and that can happen, could surprise at a nice price.
4-Dontdoubtthelakers (7/2)-Plano takes a seat and he has had success steering this veteran. Hasn't shown much lately but faces the softest field in some time and it's best to respect.
7-Hi Ho's Little Rev (9/2)-This is another who drops to a spot to shine and should be a big threat with the right trip. Gets a bit of post relief compared to the last 3 starts, it might be time to dial it on high.

Race 9

4-Exsqueezeme (3-1)-Rolled by most of these in the slop last week to score at 9/2. Should be bet after beating 6 from this field in last and draws well again.
5-Capitol Hill (7/2)-Drops out of Open company and has a big shot if brings a top effort. Has only 1 win at the meet and that was versus cheaper than this, but best to not overlook.
8-Royal Mistress (9/2)-Was the even money choice last week at this level. Didn't get the best of trips and the price should be better. Looks like a player but needs the right steer. Did beat Open company on 2-7.
9-Lickcreek Speedway (4-1)-If there is a speed duel and pace is quick Kennedy should have this mare rolling late in the mile. Might be overlooked at the windows, likes the track and this race might set-up for a closer.

Race 10

2-Brooklyn Moonshine (7/2)-Usually is in the mix on a fast track and comes off a tripped out win. Barn has been cold but at this class and from this post it's best to consider.
3-Thats How it Goes (5-1)-Beaten chalk versus this group last week. Money showed in last and Kennedy stays in the bike. Using in a race without a standout and price should be better.
4-Hagginatthebeach (5-1)-Plano got on the engine and was passed in the late going by #2. Going to the top is not a must and maybe in this case gets a cozy trip and rolls by down the lane.
5-Casey N Grinegan (6-1)-Makes 4th start after about a month off and did pass foes in last. Could be ready for a rare win and should offer a square price.

Race 11

1-Little Emma (6-1)-Emma is only 1 for 23 when the track is wet and the last 2 have been on an off-track. Taking a swing with Kennedy from the rail, looking for a sweet trip at a square price.
8-Dontcloseyoureyes (9/2)-Had 2 dominate wins from the #7 and #9 posts on a fast track. Last 2 on an off-track hasn't worked out but is only 2 for 26 when the track is wet. Looks like a player on a fast strip and best to not overlook.

My Ticket

Race 8) 2,4,7

Race 9) 4,5,8,9

Race 10) 2,3,4,5

Race 11) 1,8

Total Ticket Cost) $19.20 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia