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Friday, March 27: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

March 27, 2020

At Cal Expo tonight, the 0.20 Pick 4 will begin in Race 7. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

1-Gorgeous For Real (5-1)-Makes 4th start off the bench and the last outing was the best so far. Pilot doesn't win often but this post gives him more options. Meets easier and the barn might be waking up. Using and should offer a nice price.
4-Bunker Hill Bill (5-1)-Has finished 2nd when leaving from the 10 and 9-hole in last 2 starts. Gets class relief and post relief but 9-year-old has trouble cashing the biggest check. Should be a player but might be over bet.
5-Almost Cut My Hair (5/2)-Drops out of the Opens and picked up checks there. Did win at this class on 3-6 from this post. Could trip out behind #4 and will likely be bet hard but is a must use.
7-China King (6-1)-Should like the company and Plano takes a seat. 12-year-old doesn't bring his "A" game every night, more an on and off type of performer. Didn't do much in last, so thinking this is go-time at a nice price.

Race 8

3-Greekona (9/2)-Got on the engine and almost hung on last weekend. That type of trip isn't typical, was used hard in the 3rd quarter and faded. Expecting another big try with some better rating, maybe a 2-hole trip behind #10.
8-Youroldlov-Eletter (8-1)-Looking for a wake-up call in a race without much form. Makes 4th start for new trainer and last week did go the back half in 56.3. Could pop at a price with a good steer by Svendsen.
10-Dontcloseyoureyes (3-1)-Took the long way around last time from the 8-hole and beat 3 from this field. My guess is Roberts will leave and get on the engine but either way, should be a major player.

Race 9

1-Senga Nitro (6-1)-Having the rail will help and fits with this crew. Should be in the hunt at a square price and could get a cozy pocket trip behind the program chalk #7.
3-He Grins Again (4-1)-Drops again looking for a win. Roberts sticks, gets post relief and should be forwardly placed. It's best to not overlook.
7-Contemporary Legend (2-1)-Even effort in last but was off 3-weeks. One of a few dropping and looking to pick up a win. Could get the top and not use up a lot of gas, will respect connections but will look to others as well.

Race 10

2-Bet Together (5-1)-Loses Plano because he trains #7 but does step down and Svendsen can work a good trip. Can be put in play early and could offer a square price.
3-Western Devil (5-1)-Roland picked over #1 and the program chalk #4. Raced big in last and now bumps up but still can pose a threat versus this crew. The barn has been rolling and should be in line for a nice trip.
7-Mr Varsity (3-1)-Drops and this is the softest spot this year. Smells like a drop and pop situation for Team Plano.

My Ticket

Race 7) 1,4,5,7

Race 8) 3,8,10

Race 9) 1,3,7

Race 10) 2,3,7

Total Ticket Cost) $21.60 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia