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March 31: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

March 31, 2020

Cal Expo has changed days and its start-time for the rest of the meet. First post will now be at 3:30 PST on Tuesday and Wednesday through April 22. East Coast harness players will relish the earlier start time and the handle should be a big one. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 7, the guarantee has been raised to $50,000 and the actual pool will likely be much larger.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

5-Dancingonthesand (4-1)-Has had trouble taking a picture at this class but is in the mix at the wire. This could be the time to cash the biggest check as half the field is stepping up in class.
6-Velocity Mcsweets (2-1)-Makes the 3rd start off the bench after winning as an odds-on favorite on 3-20. Looks like the one to beat and should be bet hard again.
7-Alwaysalittlemore (5/2)-Likes to get on the engine and today it shouldn't be a big challenge. This mare is a cut above those with an inside post draw and if Plano gets the top easily, he could steal a 1/4.

Race 8

2-Vicious Aloicious (5/2)-Roland's choice over #1 and #5 drops to a soft spot. Morning line chalk deserves to be part of the ticket and Roland will put in play. But Smith barn is ice cold and 6-year-old is camera shy, (11-113) lifetime.
3-Twomickeytrip (6-1)-Mickey should offer a nice price and is also dropping to a spot to shine. This could be a wake-up call for Team Longo and can be forwardly placed from this post.
7-Hi Ho's Little Rev (7/2)-Beaten odds-on chalk couldn't catch Beckys Dreamboat over the weekend when dropped to this level. Becky isn't around tonight and it's best to respect.
10-Dontdoubtthelakers (8-1)-The Smith barn's other entry and Roberts steers again. May have met an easier field than last time. Veteran should be able to get a good early seat and might be able to close into quick fractions at a big price.

Race 9

1-Senga Nitro (3-1)-Drew the rail again and should be in the hunt. Hard to ignore from this post and could offer a fair price.
2-Herecomesthethundr (6-1)-Broke on Saturday on an off track and is only 1-20 on a wet surface. Makes 3rd start off the bench and now Roland stakes a spin. Looking for a lot better and the price should be right too.
3-He Grins Again (5/2)-Beaten chalk lacked a closing kick and that has been the case in last 3-third place finishes. Probably won't offer any value but hard to leave off the ticket with this post draw and will look to others as well.
6-Crusin For You (5-1)-Svendsen's choice over #4 steps up after a game win. Last effort was the best in quite a while and will string a long at what could be a solid price.

Race 10

2-Greekona (6-1)-Finished 2nd to #8 in last and except for #4 this is the same crew. If the chalk can't find her fastball this mare could trip out and should be a better price than last week.
8-Dontcloseyoureyes (5/2)-Hung out the 1st quarter from the 10-hole and then took control. Brushed off a challenger, pulled away and couldn't have been any better. Gets a little post relief and has a big shot for 3rd straight picture.

0.20 Pick 4

Total Bet=$19.20

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