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Saturday, May 30: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

May 30, 2020

Northfield Park has a 15-race card set to roll this evening. The Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11 and has a 14% takeout. This sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus. On Friday, the combined Early and Late Pick 4 pools averaged over $30,000.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Foolish Terror (5-1)-Comes off a nice tune-up but loses Wrenn to #5 which should help the price. Tries hard at this level but usually falls short. Will take a swing the rail makes a difference, and qualifier was forecasting a big effort.
4-Mcdazzle (5-1)-One of two Burke entries and this mare stole the show in her qualifier by 16 lengths. Consistent competitor has been in the money in 25 of 32 starts at Nfld and should be a major player again.
5-Camera Lady (5/2)-Here's another 6-year-old mare from the Burke barn that loves Nfld. Has recorded 12 wins in 17 starts and has 3 second place finishes as well. May look to get the top and make every call a winning one.

Race 12

1-Jeramayer (4-1)-Likes to be on the engine or up close and can get that trip from this post. Fits well with this group and should offer a square price.
5-Endeavor Stars (5/2)-Rhodes barn has been hot and Merriman steers after a solid qualifier on a sloppy track. Figures to be a solid threat and should be bet hard but is 0-5 at Nfld.
6-St Lads Maggie Mae (7/2)-Has won >26% of Nfld starts and 10-year-old comes off a sharp win in her qualifier. If Sugg leaves and gets a good seat chances for success go up, best to not overlook.

Race 13

4-Vibrent Kally (3-1)-Burke pupil is the tepid program chalk after a no-doubt win in its qualifier. Meadows invader makes Nfld debut and is usually right there at the wire.
5-Sea Rose (8-1)-Veteran mare has won 25% of her starts at Nfld. Looks like a price shot who should be in line for a nice trip.
6-Strawb's Chippie N (7/2)-Likes the slop and raced big in qualifier on an off-track. Might be over bet because of that performance. Will respect chances and has won here at this level on 2/4, but that was also on a sloppy track.

Race 14

4-Alisha's Big Star (9/5)-Makes first start for the Roegner barn since being claimed on 3/14. From January through 3/14 this mare was consistently in the money. Did win its qualifier, so maybe the barn change will lead to similar results.
9-KJ's Foxy Lady (3-1)-Even though the post draw wasn't good, and Myers won't be in the bike this horse likes to compete. 10-year-old can grind its way around and take her 32nd picture in 177 starts at Nfld.

$1 Pick 4

Race 11) 1,4,5

Race 12) 1,5,6

Race 13) 4,5,6

Race 14) 4,9

Total Ticket Cost) $54 for $1.00

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