Log In

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

June 14, 2020

Hawthorne Racecourse has 13-races scheduled for Sunday night. The headliner from a betting standpoint is the 0.50 Late Pick 4 which starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

On Saturday the driver with the hottest hands was Ridge Warren with three trips to the winner's circle. The top conditioners were Terry Leonard and Mike Brink, each took two pictures.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

2-Lookintomyeyes (7/2)-Has had trouble sealing the deal but was competitive in all three Haw starts. Gets another inside post draw, could get sucked around and go under the wire first.
3-Passionanpromise (2-1)-Rallied off a tough trip with a 56.2 back half to take a picture. Looking to string along versus the same bunch except for #5 and #7.

Race 11

3-It's Time For Fun (3-1)-Qualified a while ago on 5/20 and the Wilfong barn hasn't done much so far, but this is a soft spot. Beat Open company here last summer and should be a player if ready, in a competitive affair.
4-My Kind Of Dance (7/2)-Has hit the board in 21 of 51 Haw starts but has only 3 wins in the last 43 races. Needs a trip and this is the spot to stay inside and get sucked around. Could rally late in a race without a standout.
7-Mocking Robin (7-1)-This mare has 11 lifetime wins and 10 of those came right here. Needed the last start and broke slowly from post 8. Did roll the back half in 55.3 and taking a swing Krueger will be more aggressive tonight.
8-Shedaisy Ten (5-1)-Similar situation to #7, needed last and likes the track. Has won 3 of 6 starts at Haw, was Leonard's choice over #5 & #10 and should be a square price.

Race 12

2-Fox Valley Halsey (5/2)-Beaten chalk deserves another chance in 2nd try off the restart. Leonard barn has started to heat up so will respect connections.
7-Valar Morghulis (7/2)-Used hard in the opening quarter and faded. Did qualify on 6/2 and raced right back on 6/6 so this might be a better set-up. Not much gate speed inside and Oosting could get the top without draining the tank.

Race 13

3-Whiskersonkittens (5-1)-Didn't show much last week but that was versus Open company. This is a better spot but can't be sure if 7-year-old will be dialed on high. The Roth barn has come out cold.
4-Luckey Jewel (9/2)-Using and banking the Herrera barn will send this mare out ready to roll. Like others in here this is the 1st start at Haw since March.
5-I Dance U Prance (3-1)-Has 7 wins in 32 starts at Haw but this will be first start off the bench. This mare has the speed to beat this crew if tight enough.
6-Finleys Filly (6-1)-Team Leonard trainee makes 2nd start off the restart and that could be the difference here. Comes off a rough trip versus a tougher group. This is a spot to shine and could offer a fair price.

My Ticket

Race 10) 2,3

Race 11) 3,4,7,8

Race 12) 2,7

Race 12) 3,4,5,6

Total Ticket Cost) = $32 for #0.50

Check me out on Twitter!