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Friday, June 19: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

June 19, 2020

Hawthorne Racecourse has 13 races scheduled with the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 10. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Over Speeding (5/2)-Comes off a sharp win from the 9-hole and fits with this group. Has recorded 8 lifetime wins and 7 pictures have happened in Stickney. Should be in the mix from start to finish.
5-Blue Gem (4-1)-Franco takes the lines as Bates is back at HoP. Did go a 57.1 back half in a 6/7 qualifier. Should like the company if fires hot off the bench. Herrera has had them ready to roll.
6-Party Belle (7-1)-There have been excuses in both local starts. Gets post relief and did race a 56.3 back half last week. Could be sitting on a big try at a square price.

Race 11

2-Lucky Crusader 5/2-Veteran is trip dependent, tonight Husted takes a spin and that is a positive driver change. This is soft spot and will use but will also consider others.
3-Major Legacy (5-1)-Odds on winner was bet like the race was already run and didn't disappoint. This field isn't out of reach and price will be better.
7-Ricky Bobbie (3-1)-Nice effort versus a strong winner from the 10-hole last week. Now Leonard steers and Trashytonguetalker isn't in the mix, best to respect.
8-Uncle Si (5-1)-If pace is hot Si can pick off a few down the lane, so will use and hope for a nice price.

Race 12

3-Yankee Bounty (3-1)-One time class horse drops to a spot to shine. Doesn't often win these days but did roll the 2nd half in .55 in 1st start of the meet versus better.
4-Rebel Rouser (8/5)-Owns a 150.2 mark at PcD and will probably be bet hard. Doesn't offer any value, will use but look to beat. Not sure the long stretch at Haw helps his cause.
6-Rockin Robert (12-1)-Barn is 0-5 but qualified well. Looks like a worthwhile price shot and knows how to race on a mile oval.

Race 13

3-Dinky Dune (7/2)-Will toss last from the 9-hole, broke poorly and pace was dull. Did come the 2nd half in 56.1 and could take a picture if #5 doesn't have his fast ball tonight.
5-Dakota Roadster (6/5)-0-10 in 2020 but in a new barn which has won 2 of 8 since the restart. Many will probably single the morning line chalk as this is a good spot for a picture and gets a ++ driver change in Todd Warren.

My Ticket

Race 10) 1,5,6

Race 11) 2,3,7,8

Race 12) 3,4,6

Race 13) 3,5

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $0.50

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