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Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

June 21, 2020

Tonight, the 0.50 Late Pick 4 at Hawthorne Racecourse starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

On Saturday, the top pilots on the card were Kyle Husted and Kyle Wilfong, both with three pictures. The leading trainers were Kyle Husted and Mike Brink who recorded two wins each.

Comments and selection below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

2-Crooked Creek (7-1)-Comes off a break in last but Brink barn had been rolling and will overlook last fumble. Looking for Oosting to keep this 3-year-old pacing and does offer a fair price.
8-Fox Valley Quest (9/5)-Made it look easy last week drawing off by 5 lengths. Will not offer any value but has won 8 of 10 in Stickney. Is a must use but will also look to others because of the outside draw.
11-On Higher Ground (5-1)-Another Brink trainee who will be looking for 1st Haw win in 9 tries. Came second 5 times here and might be able to save ground and sneak by late, was Wilfong's choice over #4.

Race 11

4-Mirasol (5-1)-Won like a good horse who found an easy spot for a picture last week at 23-1. Won't be close to that price, actually probably won't even be 5-1 even though bumping up and does look like a major player.
7-Skeeter Machine (6-1)-Not agreeing with the program handicapper and will leave #8, the 3-1 chalk off my ticket. This mare likes the track (8-20), tuned-up nicely in Spr and trainer should have her ready for a big try off the bench.

Race 12

1-Coming Up (7/2)-The Searle barn has won at a good clip since the restart but this guy has faltered down the lane. This will be the 3rd start off the bench and Oosting should be able to get on the engine and control the race.
2-He's Masterful (5/2)-Lightly raced 4-year-old had a nice effort in 1st start this year. Thinking Leonard will make the most of starting inside instead of the 8-hole and be in the mix throughout.
4-Ricky The Flash (25-1)-Comes off dual qualifiers at Spr for the Patton barn which has had them ready to go. Ricky is only 1-21 at Haw but could get sucked around and use one big brush to light up the board.

Race 13

1-Lilly Von Shtupp (5/2)-The issue with Lilly is she just doesn't like to seal the deal and, often falls short in a close race. But did have a big effort from the 10-hole and should be forwardly placed without draining her tank.
2-Whiskersonkittens (9/2)-Was driven like an 8/5 chalk in last but faded badly off a tough 1st half. She is a game mare and this is a soft spot but barn has been ice cold.
7-San Antonio Rose (9-1)-6-year-old has tuned up in Springfield and knows her way to the Haw winner's circle having banked >$113K here. Should be a nice price and #1 will be bet and can't be trusted.
8-Tell Marcia (9/2)-Qualified and rolled the back half in a snappy 56.4. Also, has won 3 of 6 starts at Haw. Offers a square price but Sheehan needs to provide a strong drive.

My Ticket

Race 10) 2,8,11

Race 11) 4,7

Race 12) 1,2,4

Race 13) 1,2,7,8

Total Ticket Cost) = $36 for $0.50

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