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Saturday, June 27: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

June 27, 2020

The Meadowlands has a 13-race card scheduled with the 0.50 Early Pick 4 starting in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout. If the weather forecast is correct the track will probably not be fast.

Race 6

1-Southwind Avenger (5-1)-Tuned-up at YR with a sharp effort from the 8-hole and was parked so maybe Lasix is making a difference. McCarthy takes a spin and is 2-2 on a wet track.
3-Don't Let'em (3-1)-This is a fast horse who is a risky play in almost every start but is hard to leave out. Hasn't won on an off-track and hopefully will offer a decent price.
4-Reign Of Honor (7/2)-Came 3rd at TgDn versus tough company after taking a picture here. Merlander barn is hot and it's best to not overlook.

Race 7

1-Tall Dark Stranger (5/2)-Not going to single but was worthy of that type of respect. Last qualifier was razor sharp and even though 3-year-old faces older this is a world class horse. Could win and tune-up for the upcoming Pace Elims.
2-Western Joe (5-1)-#1 hasn't raced on an off-track and there is a good chance of rainy weather so will use Joe just in case. Does step-up off a win but fits with this group and should be on the engine or in the pocket.

Race 8

1-Ideal Feeling (5-1)-Won in 148.4 last week, likes the Big M and has won 2 of 4 on an off-track. Does meet tougher company but Tetrick should keep in play throughout.
3-Franco Totem N (7/2)-Liked this guy last week and he came 2nd but raced well. Could be better tonight and comes off a quick mile and raced near the lead. Best to respect, especially with this post draw and Dunn sticks.
10-Flaming Flutter N (3-1)-Takes a big bump up after being rimmed the mile and winning in 149.1 with a 26.1 last quarter. Oh, and not to forget that was the US debut. 2nd time Lasix and does not show a start on an off-track.

Race 9

2-Filibuster Hanover (9/2)-No chance in a needed start at TgDn but can be a factor here. Should be fine on a wet track and has banked >$330 in East Rutherford facing tough foes. Only 1 picture in last 19 tries but that could change tonight.
3-Trojan Banner N (8-1)-Will swing for a price, loses Tetrick to #7 but D. Miller should be up to the task and barn has been hot. Needs a big effort but did race a 148.4 mile last week with a 26.2 last quarter and the trip wasn't great.
4-Sintra (5/2)-Raced well in 1st start off the bench at this class. Has won 6 of 9 on an off-track and has 2 wins in 5 Big M starts. Looks to be a major player and Gingras will have in play.
7-Donttellmegain (5-1)-Looking for 1st win on an off-track but did hit the board in all 4 starts and has won 4 of 8 Big M races. Six-year-old has a 147.2 mark here, the question is how fast he will go in 2nd race after the re-start.

My Ticket

Race 6) 1,3,4

Race 7) 1,2

Race 8) 1,3,10

Race 9) 2,3,4,7

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $0.50

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