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Sunday, June 28: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

June 28, 2020

Sunday's 0.50 Late Pick 4 at Hawthorne Racecourse begins in Race 11. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

2-Delightfully Wild (7-1)-Moves up after a sharp win on the engine and was strong through the wire. Will not be 22-1 most likely but will offer a good price and should fit here.
3-Shedaisy Ten (6-1)-Didn't get the best of trips in last and now Leonard is back aboard. Looks like a player at a square price.
6-Mirasol (6-1)-This is the 3rd start off the bench. One was very good and the 2nd start, when bumped up in class and off for 15-days was dull. Looking for Warren to provide a better steer and an improved effort at a better price.
7-Model (5/2)-Program favorite isn't offering any value at this price and hasn't looked sharp in last 2 starts. But this is a wide-open affair and the Smith barn should start taking some pictures.
10-Rollin Coal (5-1)-Drops in 2nd start on Lasix and 3rd race after the re-start. Post makes for a better price and will need the right trip. This mare is probably the fastest horse in the race if dialed on high, best to not overlook.

Race 12

2-Fox Valley Lolo (7-1)-Not sure Lasix has taken full effect yet but last effort was the best since starting back up. Should stay in the hunt from this post and if continues to improve could take a picture at a solid price.
6-Fox Valley Torrid (4-1)-Qualified on 6/13 with a 55.2 back half and has won 9 of 24 starts at Haw. Can beat this field if fires hot off the bench.
9-Fox Valley Halsey (7/2)-Has fallen short in both local starts and has been the beaten chalk each time. Now draws outside but will likely not offer any value. Maybe Leonard will try a different game plan and follow cover.

Race 13

8-Fox Valley Triton (5/2)-Raced the 2nd half in 54.2 and couldn't catch the leaders but those two are not in this field. Looking for a more aggressive move by Leonard to take control for 1st photo of 2020.

Race 14

1-Western Vinny (3/2)-Doesn't offer any value and is only 2-23 lifetime but this is not a group of All-Stars. Did have a big try from the 8-hole and deserves respect due to that effort.
5-Life Is A Highway (4-1)-This will be the 3rd start after the break and faces a beatable field. Bates has driven before at HoP and he is back tonight. Could be sitting on a big try.
7-Fox Valley Lincoln (12-1)-Won 2 times pre-lockdown but has not been able to get rolling since. Looking for a price and thinking Warren may leave to get the top or the pocket trip behind #1.

My Ticket

Race 11) 2,3,6,7,10

Race 12) 2,6,9

Race 13) 8

Race 14) 1,5,7

Total Ticket Cost) $22.50 for $0.50

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