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Monday, June 29: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

June 29, 2020

The popular 0.20 Early Pick 5 at Woodbine Mohawk Park kicks-off the card and will be my focus. It is a competitive sequence with a $75,000 guaranteed pool and 15% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

1-Heid (15-1)-Not a bad effort in 1st start since 11/23. Now moves in from the 7-hole and should be a price. Roy steers again, he got her off the gate and kept the filly trotting.
4-Chelseas Magic (7/2)-Stayed trotting in qualifier and 1st start of the year. Trotted 57.3 in the 2nd half of the mile and should be in the hunt in a difficult race.
8-Enchanting Gal (9/2)-Last qualifier was good enough to take notice and raced the back half in 57.4. Should like the company and if gets the right trip it could be graduation time.

Race 2

3-Betalady (6-1)-Comes off a sharp effort in a quick mile to finish 2nd. Barn has been doing well, likes the track, drew well and could offer a solid price. Might get the 2-hole behind the 7/5 chalk and is a use in gimmicks.
5-Alicorn (7/5)-Tuned up nicely and will be difficult to beat if dialed on high in 1st start of the year. Looks ready and this will be a single on many tickets.
8-Lauras Love (4-1)-This is a good test for this nice looking 3-year-old who has won 5 of 7 in 2020. McClure will have in play but will need a hot pace.

Race 3

3-Yacht Seelster (7/2)-Raced the back half on 6/20 in .53 to come 2nd. 0-6 this year and McClure needs to work a favorable journey. Looking for a more aggressive start to be in striking range at the top of lane.
4-Sweet N Fast N (3-1)-Takes a meaningful drop in 3rd race after the re-start. This looks like a spot to pick-up a 3rd win in 11 starts this year.
6-Rock N Talkin (8-1)-Filion gets the catch drive on this 4-year-old who had 2 sharp local starts. Closed into some wicked fractions last time. Should be forwardly placed tonight and could add some juice to the Pick 5 payout.

Race 4

2-Refi (6-1)-Left and got a perfect 2-hole trip and rolled by late. Won't be as easy this time but this is a sharp, handy horse. Offers some value at the ML odds of 6-1 and barn keeps winning.
3-Only Take Cash (5-1)-Raced evenly in 1st race since 11/14. McIntosh trainee has won 4 of 8 starts at Wbsb and fits with this group. This is another tough race and Henry should put in play early. Might be tight enough to take a picture.

Race 5

2-Iwontdothatagain (7/2)-Loses Roy but gets McNair and more important now gets post relief. Has started from the 9-10 and 8 posts in last 3 and has been flying late. McNair may gun for the engine and steal a quarter in an interesting race.
3-Icy Blue Scooter (4-1)-Drops out of Preferreds into a spot to shine. JMac needs a good steer to capture 1st win in 2020. Looks like a major player and likes to takes pictures, was 16-30 in 2019.
4-Peace Out Posse (5-1)-This is the other Moreau trainee and Roy has some choices. Drops and also gets post relief. Best to not overlook and should offer a square price.

My Ticket

Race 1) 1,4,8

Race 2) 3,5,8

Race 3) 3,4,6

Race 4) 2,3

Race 5) 2,3,4

Total Ticket Cost) = $32.40 for $0.20

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