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Friday, July 3: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

July 3, 2020

The 0.50 Late Pick 4 at Hawthorne Racecourse begins in Race 9. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout and will be my focus. If there ever was a Pick 4 devoid of form this would be it. But with randomness sometimes comes an opportunity for a nice payout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

1-I Am Will (3-1)-Makes the 1st start for new connections, was claimed for $8,000 on 3/10 and now in for a $4,000 tag + allowances. 9-year-old doesn't take many pictures these days but this spot is about as soft as it will get.
4-Sports Creek (7-1)-Leonard's choice over #3 and #9 takes a considerable drop in 2nd start off the bench. This is only the 2nd race since 9/1/2018 but Leonard should keep in play versus a suspect bunch.
6-In Your Eye (5/2)-Program chalk is 1-23 which spans the past 2-years but does get a positive driver change as Husted takes a spin. Won here in March with a 155.2 mile and raced 155.4 last week in the slop, should contend here.

Race 10

1-Brooklyn Flight (5/2)-Drops and has had post #9 in both races off the restart. Could get sucked around from this spot and sneak by late.
4-I Dreamed A Dream (6-1)-10-year-old is 0-23 and that could be enough to avoid but the entire field has won only 34 races in 2019-2020. Last was better and now tries Lasix for the 2nd time.
5-Heartland Desire (9/2)-Did race better in the slop when dropped to this level last week. Trip dependent but can pass horses late so best to consider.
10-Dinky Dune (7/2)-Has won 11 of 53 at Haw, was used hard early in last and faded. Wilfong could leave and find a close-up seat without draining the tank this time. Could take a picture with the right trip.

Race 11

6-Parklane Eagle (7/2)-Beaten chalk got on the engine last time and just missed. Willis barn has been going well, may get the top tonight and not look back.
7-Park Official (9/2)-Nice effort in the slop last week and now drops. Looks like a player but will need Wilfong to work the right trip.

Race 12

1-Chick Magnet (2-1)-Broke at the start last week in the slop and had no chance in 1st try for new barn. Looking for better tonight and will respect connections. Does have the speed to cash the top check if minds manners.
8-Hello Rooster (7/2)-Even effort in the slop after winning on 6/21. Leonard was the winning pilot then and is back in the bike tonight. Should be in the hunt if finds a live cover flow.

My Ticket

Race 9) 1,4,6

Race 10) 1,4,5,10

Race 11) 6,7

Race 12) 1,8

Total Ticket Cost) $24 for $0.50

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