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Friday, July 10: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

July 10, 2020

Hawthorne Racecourse has an 11-race card set to go with the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 8. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

1-Crash And Burn (7-1)-It looks like there could be a few horses leaving and this is a spot to get a good seat and hang around. Leonard could look to use one nice brush down the lane and roll by. Should be a fair price and has some speed.
3-Bass Player (3-1)-Drops out of Open company and needs the class relief. Hasn't had any luck in Stickney so far,
0-6 but should be heard from tonight. Is a use versus this crew but is only 6 for 48 the past 2-years and might be over bet.
10-Late Night Joke (9-1)-Post shouldn't hurt too much as long as the pace is quick. Fits with these and can unleash a big rally. Warren will need to be in striking range at the top of the turn and should be a square price.

Race 9

4-J B's Hero (9/2)-JB is 0-10 this year but the entire field has only 5 wins in 2020. Changed tactics last race and was used hard off the gate. Now Leonard is back in the bike, gets a good post draw and best to respect.
5-Holdenwe'rerolling (9/5)-Drops down from $5K claimers for a barn who has heated up and Wilfong sticks. Was rimmed the mile in last from the 9-hole, looks like a player and this trip can't be any worse.

Race 10

2-He'zzz A Wise Sky (3-1)-Good looking 3-year-old faces older but has been consistent and has raced well in every start in June. Should be in the hunt but will likely be bet hard.
5-Bold And Brassy (7/2)-Has been bumping heads versus better at HoP and now drops to a softer spot but is 0-4 at Haw. 7-time winner in 2019 is only 1-12 this year but should be forwardly placed and may get back on-track tonight.
9-Allmyx'sliventexas (30-1)-Makes 3rd local start, using and shouldn't be close to 30-1. Lackey can put the 7-year-old in play and might be sitting on a big try. Could be a gimmick possibility as well.

Race 11

5-Better Watch Out (7/2)-Tough loss in last but it was a sharp local debut. Warren sticks and could be better in 2nd start for the Chupp barn.
6-Bettor's Promise (3-1)-Tepid program chalk gets post relief after a tough trip from the 9-hole. Makes 4th local start and has had excuses but Leonard should provide a better journey from this post.
10-Party's Jet (15-1)-Will swing for a price and has been stuck with the 9-hole in last 2 starts. The start will be key, Ridge Warren needs to find a good early seat to get into striking range. Pace may not be hot, so will need a good steer.

My Ticket

Race 8) 1,3,10

Race 9) 4,5

Race 10) 2,5,9

Race 11) 5,6,10

Total Ticket Cost) $27 for $0.50

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