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Saturday, July 11: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

July 11, 2020

Tonight, the Meadowlands has a star-studded card set to go. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6 and it includes the Reynolds Memorial Trot, the Meadowlands Pace Elimination and the Graduate Series Final. I went price shopping in the first leg which is an Open Pace. The Pick 4 sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Our Major Dan A (8-1)-Aussie invader has been razor sharp and the question is how will the ScD form translate to the Big M. My feeling is the risk reward is jutified even though this this will be a big test.
2-Highalator (10-1)-Will toss last at Phl, comes back to the Big M where he has won 12 of 18. Could be out and winging and be on the engine or in the pocket. Using horses on the inside and will respect the last start at the Big M on 7/6.
4-Jesse Duke N (10-1)-Hasn't missed hitting the board in 4 starts here and has notched 3 wins. Dunn has some options and could be forwardly placed or can come off cover. Looks like a player at a square price.

Race 7

2-Hollywood Story (4-1)-Muscle Hill colt has been perfect in two starts in East Rutherford and has a post edge on talented foes. Will respect chances but hasn't faced a field like this.
4-Maesteraemon (5-1)-Even effort on 6/27 after a couple of sharp qualifiers. Melander pupil has won 4 of 10 starts and has talent but is 0-4 at the Big M.
7-Synergy (3-1)-Comes off an even effort in season debut but is a player if ready to roll. Raced against tough customers last year and Gingras returns tonight.
8-Back Of The Neck (7/2)-Got on the engine in 1st start of the year and was just nipped in a quick mile. Is a use and could be even better here but won't be starting from post 3.

Race 8

1-Major Betts (9/2)-Comes off a sparkling 149.4 performance at TgDn on 6/28. Will use instead of the big guns stuck with post 8 & 9. Capt Midnight and Papi Rob can qualify for next week's Pace without emptying the tank tonight.
3-Tall Dark Stranger (3-1)-Hasn't missed a beat from last year and gets a big post edge on main foes. Gingras can take control early on and may not look back.

Race 9

3-Workin Ona Mystery (4-1)-Can't find much to criticize with this Brown trainee and Tetrick can work his magic with Bettor's Wish, the morning chalk saddled with post 10.
4-Dancin Lou (5-1)-Beaten chalk was used hard from post 6 to get the lead in the opening quarter and couldn't last although did close in 25.4. Lou usually comes ready to play and won 11 of 21 starts in 2019.
5-Hurrikane Emperor (8-1)-Last start was a bit disappointing but beaten favorite hung on for a 3rd place check after being used hard in the 1st half. Has won 7 of 10 at the Big M and will look for a rebound with a big purse on the line.

My Ticket

Race 6) 1,2,4

Race 7) 2,4,7,8

Race 8) 1,3

Race 9) 3,4,5

Total Ticket Cost) = $36 for $0.50

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