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Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

July 12, 2020

The 0.50 Late Pick 4 at Hawthorne Racecourse rolls in Race 10. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus. Also, the Pick 5 starts in Race 1 and it has a $4,710 carryover which allows for a $20,000 guaranteed pool.

On Saturday the driver with the hottest hands was Casey Leonard with three wins. The leading conditioner on the card was Terry Leonard with two trips to the winner's circle.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Along Came Jane (6-1)-Has had issues, so hasn't shown much in all 3 starts at Haw. Now drops to a much better level, should compete with this crew and Wilfong sticks.
4-Admit (7-1)-Gets needed post relief and tries Lasix for the 2nd time. This mare got rolling in last but was too far behind. Did close in 55.3 and Bates should be in better striking range tonight.
6-Kak's Rockin (4-1)-Scioto invader seems to have found a nice landing spot for its Haw debut. A ScD newcomer won last night and will take a swing Team Seekman has this gal ready to roll. Did post 153.2 mile at HoP last year.

Race 11

1-Flipfloppinflossie (9/2)-Ridge Warren chose the Brink entry #6 but this mare did qualify well and should be in the hunt. Sheehan should have her forwardly placed throughout.
3-Tropical Fruit (4-1)-One of 2 from the Mike Brink barn and this filly got roughed up in last start. Looking for a rebound and a better steer from Wilfong.
6-Trendy H (5-1)-Has 1 win in 7 starts at Haw but has hit the board 6 times. Came off the bench with a solid try for a 2nd place finish from the 9-hole and should be tighter tonight.

Race 12

3-Susan Sage (6-1)-Took the long way around in a needed start. Susan knows how to win and likes Haw. 11-time winner in 2019 has 10-wins in 23 starts in Stickney. Beaten favorite gets a post edge on other contenders.
6-Ideal's Nicole (7-1)-0-5 this year but has faced Open company and then has been stuck with the 10 hole in the last 2 starts. Looking for a big try and could offer a square price.
8-Mirasol (9-1)-Drops after being blocked down the lane. Not saying it cost the 4-year-old a picture, but should be heard from at this level. Gets a new set of hands in Wilfong and is another price shot in an open affair.

Race 13

2-Pretty Iris (20-1)-Comes off a rough trip and this field should be more to her liking. Makes 3rd local start for the Brink barn and could be ready for a picture. Shouldn't be 20-1 but can offer a solid price.
4-Rollin Coal (4-1)-Every trip when dropped to this level has been similar. Tries to get on the engine and then can't close the deal. Maybe it's time for Franco to come off a helmet and roll by late?
8-Boogie On Down (5/2)-Raced the 2nd half in .55 but that wasn't enough because she was 10-legnths behind. Wilfong trainee has been flat but this is the softest spot all year and should be handled aggressively.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,4,6/1,3,6/3,6,8/2,4,8
Total Bet=$40.50

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