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Scioto Downs Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

July 14, 2020

Tonight, Scioto Downs has 15-races on tap and the 0.50 Pick 5 begins in Race 5. The contentious sequence has a 14% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

1-Full On Rocknroll (8-1)-Gets post relief and has the gate speed to protect the rail. The program chalk #8, will likely be leaving and Beattie could end up with a pocket trip. Could surprise at a nice price and is a use in exacta's as well.
8-Blazin Baron (2-1)-Drops into a soft spot and has the speed to get the top. It could be picture time if lands on the engine without using a lot of gas.

Race 6

4-Lightning Belle (2-1)-Not loving the 2-1 morning line but is in a spot to be forwardly placed. Could get sucked around and rally down the lane.
8-Aqua Lillies (9/2)-Meadows shipper has been facing tougher foes than others and should have enough gate speed to get a close-up seat. Can take a picture with the right trip.

Race 7

3-Some Of You (7/2)-Will take a swing with this 3-year-old versus a suspect group of mares. Barn has been rolling, filly has won 2 of 8 at ScD, and Trevor Smith sticks.
9-I M McCited (9-1)-This gal has been bet and has burned some cash. Now draws outside and should be a price. My guess is Miller blasts out and hops on the engine. Has the gate speed to give that plan a shot and that's the best chance for a picture.

Race 8

1-Smoking Jet (7/2)-Finally draws inside in 3rd ScD start, does meet a stronger field but should stay in the hunt from start to finish.
5-Rose Run Valor (5/2)-Competitive Father Patrick 3-year-old makes 1st ScD and appears to be a player with a good a steer.

Race 9

2-Duel Of Truth (7/2)-Had a rough trip in last but kept coming with a 55.3 last half while racing wide. Should like the company and gets a positive driver change in 2nd start off the bench.
6-Major Deception (5/2)-Program chalk got caught racing wide in a very quick mile in the slop. Could not make up ground even with a 55.2 back half. Best to respect Morgan trainee in this spot.

0.50 Pick 5

Total bet=$16

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