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Friday, July 17: Hoosier Park Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

July 17, 2020

Tonight, Hoosier Park has 14 races scheduled with the 0.50 Pick 4 beginning in Race 3 and that sequence will be my focus. On Thursday in Anderson the driver with the hottest hands was Ricky Macomber with three wins. It was a team effort as the leading conditioner on the night was Jamie Macomber with three trips to the winner's circle.

Comments and selections are based on a fast track.

Race 3

2-Secret Threat (3-1)-Even effort to finish 3rd as the post-time favorite and now drops. The Tyler George barn has been sizzling, 17 wins in last 30 days. But 8-year-old has only 5 starts in '19-'20, so there are issues but will respect here.
5-Rock Solid Image (4-1)-Faded in last from the 8-hole in 152.2 which was a tick off lifetime best mark in 2019. Gets a good post draw and has the gate speed to lead from start to finish.
6-Elite Awards (15-1)-Tossing last from the 10-hole and price shot has beaten better here after the restart. Drops to a spot to shine. Macomber drives his own so Hiteman takes a seat and 9-year-old knows his way to the HoP winner's circle.

Race 4

3-Blazen River N (7/2)-Qualified at HoP in 151.2 on 7/8 and went the back half in .54 all on his own. Choked as the chalk on 7/26 at this same class. Very lightly raced 5-year-old is a threat if all systems are go.
4-Mykindachip (4-1)-Stayed inside versus better as they went to the half in 53.4. Didn't hit the board but still had a 27.2 last quarter and now faces easier. Winner of >$940k has won 23% of HoP starts (22-97) and looks like a player tonight.

Race 5

7-Keyston Tenacious (5/2)-Program chalk drops out of Open company and this is a better spot for a picture. Has hit the board 14 times in 21 starts at HoP and booked 6 wins. The post might be a challenge but can win with a good steer.
8-Roan Color (6-1)-Rolled the back half in 54.2 to beat the $30k claimers last week at 32-1. That opportunity is gone but should be a square price here. It looks like the pace could be hot and if so chances for a picture go up.
9-TYD Theglyde (8-1)-Faced 5 from this field last week and picked up a 3rd place check. Similar to #8, went the 2nd half in a swift .54. Slow starter is pace dependent but is worth a swing at 8-1 in the morning line.

Race 6

2-Rockin Mercedes (3-1)-Was used a couple of times in HoP debut, and 1st start in the George barn to score at 9/2 at this same class. Dover invader deserves respect and should be bet hard.
3-Rock N Fantasy (6-1)-Bumps up after a sharp score versus $12k claimers last week. Loses Widger to #6 but De Long can provide a good steer. Uppal barn has been rolling, might be overlooked at the windows and surprise at a nice price.
5-Rush To Judgement (7/2)-Has been facing $20k and $25k claimers and should like the company but is 0-5 at HoP. Will use but best work has come on the 5/8's at DTN and might be over bet on the class drop.
6-N Expense (9/2)-Was used hard in the opening half last week and faded down the lane as a 6/5 choice. My guess is Widger may work a different trip and come off cover. Pace should be honest and could roll by late at a square price.

My Ticket

Race 3) 2,5,6

Race 4) 3,4

Race 5) 7,8,9

Race 6) 2,3,5,6

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $0.50

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