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Scioto Downs Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

July 21, 2020

Scioto Downs has 15-races set to go with the 0.50 Pick 5 beginning in Race 5. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

1-R J P (9/5)-Hasn't raced since 7/4 and this will be the 1st start at ScD for the 6-year-old Burke trainee. This is a significant price drop and the lowest level in quite a while. Offers no value but needs to be used.
4-Major Deception (3-1)-Beaten chalk was bet down to 9/5 and had no chance in last. Draws well and the Morgan barn has been rolling. Doesn't have much gate speed and is trip dependent, but can take a picture if Miller finds live cover.

Race 6

2-Badger Quinn (9/2)-Got on the engine from the 7-hole and didn't look back versus this kind on 7/9. Gets a new pilot and could be posing again if Badger is as good as in last.
8-Silver Spir (5/2)-Program chalk has won 7 of 15 at ScD. 11-year-old has also won 2 straight and one was from the 8-hole. Best to not overlook, veteran likes to win.

Race 7

5-Town Icon (4-1)-Form has been dull but did leave aggressively in last and now get a ++ driver change. Page could leave and race close to the lead. Best to respect, could be sitting on a big try.
7-Ilikethemtrashy (9/2)-Drops, fits with this bunch and Noble sticks. Barn is ice cold but could leave and get the pocket ride behind #5 and trip out.
10-Air Force Hanover (9/5)-Drops to a spot to shine, went off as 3/2 chalk versus NW of $5k last 4 and came 2nd. The best horse has the worse post but if #1 leaves in 2nd local start, that might help Smith work out a winning trip.

Race 8

3-Can't Break Rosie (7-1)-Rosie is camera shy but is not alone and is worth using versus a suspect group. Page should keep her engaged from this post.
4-Itza Prince (4-1)-Tried hard versus better in last and now could leave from this post and get the top. There isn't much gate speed in the race and Smith could take control.
7-Attache (4-1)-3-year-old is 0-6 at ScD but has faced some tough company. Comes off a nice try versus better and if pace is honest Miller should have in striking range at the top of the lane.

Race 9

1-Upfront Supersonic (12-1)-Only 1-23 at ScD but that win came at this same class on 6/19 from the rail. Fits here and Sutton can be aggressive. Will take a swing versus a group without much form.
4-Christina One (7/2)-Steps-up after a confident win versus easier. Smith's choice over the 1, 2 and 10 should be put in play and could take another picture with a top a try.

0.50 Pick 5

Total Bet=$36

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