by Jeremy Plonk
August 4, 2020
We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida. And be sure to support Gulfstream Park by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Gulfstream Park.
Because of Hurricane Isaias, a schedule mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6 was shifted from August 2 to this Sunday, August 9. Check back Sunday morning for AI-assisted 1/ST BET app selections and stats. The Rainbow 6 has a guaranteed pool of $1.35 million to enter the racing week on Thursday. The week’s co-featured stakes races will be Saturday’s $100,000 Martha Washington (fillies) and $100,000 Not Surprising (colts/geldings) for 3-year-old turf milers.
The Stronach 5 paid $5565.30 on July 31 despite no winners over 4-1 odds in the sequence. The Stronach 5 for August 7 will be comprised of the following races (all times Eastern):
Leg A – Laurel Park Race 6 with an approximate post time of 3:21
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 8 with and approximate post time of 3:40
Leg C – Laurel Park Race 7 with an approximate post time of 3:59
Leg D – Gulfstream Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 4:14
Leg E – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:32
1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:
Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park, including the same factor ranking most-effective for the second week in a row. Also note the Average Last 3 Purse factor showed a whopping $92 profit if you bet each top choice in that category to win for $2.
Average Speed Last 3 Races
Average Last 3 Purse
Trends Last Week:
--Trainer Ralph Nicks had a big week with an 11: 5-1-1 record that included Breeze on By’s victory in the Dr. Fager Stakes. He went 5-for-8 with horses 4-1 or less odds and all 5 winners were ridden by Emisael Jaramillo.
--Leading jockey Emisael Jaramillo continued to pour it on with a colony-best 9 wins, 33% win rate and a $1.57 ROI for every $1 bet on his charges.
--Trainer Michael Yates hinted at a big breakout with a 4: 1-2-1 week that included a 21-1 stakes winner and a 19-1 shot in the money.
--Jockey Mario Fuentes piloted a pair of upsets with $22 and $28 winners as 11 of his 16 mounts were double-digit odds.
Trends Last 2 Weeks:
--Favorites in maiden claiming races are now 23: 12-3-2 the past 2 weeks after hitting 50% (6-12) this past week.
--Jockey Miguel Vasquez has been outstanding on favorites with a 9: 5-3-0 mark, missing only 1 exacta.
Trends Last 3 Weeks:
--Jockey Hector Berrios has been riding as well as anyone at Gulfstream in recent weeks, going 42: 9-9-6 (21% wins, $1.29 ROI for every $1 bet). The 9 wins have come for 8 different trainers (twice with Juan Alvarado).
--Trainer Peter Walder has a 5: 3-1-0 in his last 5 claiming races entered.