by Xpressbet
August 9, 2020
Sunday, August 9 at Gulfstream Park features a Mandatory Payout in the Rainbow 6. The carryover into Sunday's card is $1,137,935 and track officials anticipate a singificantly larger pool before the horses break in the first race of the sequence - Race 6 at 2:34PM ET.
From a forecast perspective, fast/firm tracks are expected and all Main Track Only (MTO) horses were removed from thsi analysis. In the event that race(s) do come off the turf, you may use your 1/ST BET app to recalculate these numbers with those horse(s) included. Xpressbet customers can access 1/ST BET for handicapping and wagering using their existing Username and Password, so be sure to check it out.
Race 6 (2:34PM ET) - Maiden Special Weight - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
#10 - SHE'S JUST QUALITY (9/5) // 27% Win
#3 - CHAMPAGNE TRAIN (30/1) // 13% Win
#2 - HUMOR ME DIXIE (9/2) // 9% Win
#6 - MAY I (6/1) // 8% Win
Our Take: Our AI Picks love SHE'S JUST QUALITY off two decent maiden races in June, with most of the rest of the field coming in far behind her. Based on the 1/ST BET take, She's Just Quality might be worth considering as a single to kick off the sequence.
Race 7 (3:06PM ET) - Claiming - 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
#2 - CAPTAIN DUKE (4/1) // 24% Win
#6 - HARPER GO LUCKY (5/1) // 13% Win
#4 - FLAWLESS MOON (9/2) // 12% Win
#10 - ROAD TO PEACE (20/1) // 10% Win
Our Take: These races are always a lottery and Captain Duke gets the nod from the computer in conjunction with a drop in class. Harper Go Lucky and Flawless Moon also received high marks from the computer, while 5/2 Morning Line favorite, Outamine, is not in a favorable spot with 1/ST BET, given just a 3% Win projection.
Race 8 (3:40PM ET) - Optional Claiming - 5 Furlongs (Turf)
#9 - CATHARSIS (5/2) // 23% Win
#11 - HEIR BALL (9/2) // 18% Win
#10 - ALL ABOUT STELLA (4/1) // 16% Win
#2 - J'S INDIAN CHARM (12/1) //8% Win
Our Take: Anticipated favorite Catharsis gets top marks and is the one to beat off a 2 1/2-month layoff. If she's not quite sharp enough, Heir Ball, a speedster drawn to her outside, should rate a big chance as she looks to rebound off a disappointing effort on July 17. All About Stella ran the best race of her life on June 26.
Race 9 (4:14PM ET) - Claiming - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)
#2 - CAPE TRIOS (3/1) // 27% Win
#7 - MANCORA (12/1) // 14% Win
#8 - NOTE TO SELFIE (5/1) // 13% Win
#9 - ADAMANT (8/1) // 11% Win
Our Take: Cape Trios is first off the claim for Juan Avila and is racing on dirt for the first time in a long time. The computer rates her chances as significant, but those with bigger budgets might also want to check out Mancora and Note to Selfie, both of whom caught the eye a little bit with the Win projections.
Race 10 (4:48PM ET) - Dayatthespa Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
#8 - KELSEY'S CROSS (7/5) // 34% Win
#3 - GREAT SISTER DIANE (3/1) // 17% Win
#7 - LOVELY LUVY (9/2) // 17% Win
#2 - SENSIBLE MYTH (8/1) // 9% Win
Our Take: Kelsey's Cross has the highest Win projection of the sequence by a significant margin and she appears to be a single. Her form has been erratic all year but this is not a deep field on papper and she should draw on her back class to score here.
Race 11 (5:21PM ET) - Optional Claiming - 1 Mile (Turf)
#7 - OBLIO'S WISH (12/1) // 23% Win
#9 - AUGUSTA MOON (7/2) // 12% Win
#10 - FREE TO FLY (15/1) // 12% Win
#6 - DRINKS ON ME (8/1) // 10% Win
Our Take: The computer rates six horses between an 8% and 12% win projection, indicating that this is a wide open field as evidenced by its top pick of Oblio's Wish, a 12/1 outsider on the Morning Line.
Our Ticket
Race 6) 10
Race 7) 2, 4, 6
Race 8) 9, 10, 11
Race 9) 2, 7, 8
Race 10) 8
Race 11) 2, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11, 12
Ticket Cost) $37.80 for 20-cents