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Monday, August 10: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

August 10, 2020

Woodbine Mohawk Park has a solid 11-race card on tap for this evening. The 0.20 Pick 5 kicks off the night, the sequence has a $75,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

4-Mission Three (8-1)-Makes 2nd start for Fellows barn after breaking slowly last week. Did rally to finish 2nd to #6 who wasn't going to be denied. With a better start camera shy 5-year-old could surprise at a nice price and McClure knows well.
6-Buddha Blue Chip (2-1)-Has won 2 of 3 and has been 1st or 2nd in 7 of last 8, did come 3rd in the other start. Besides being consistent has been claimed in last 3 and is back in at the same class. There is no need to look away, must be used.

Race 2

2-Hayek (2-1)-One of Baillargeon's 2 entries (2/4) and this 3-year-old moves up in class. Does come off a big try from the 8-hole and followed a different script coming off cover to roll by down the lane.
4-HP Bruxelles (7-1)-May need a break or two to win but is usually right there at the wire and should be forwardly placed again. Offers some value at the morning line price.
7-Villefranche AS (4-1)-Blasted out from the 8-hole in last and faded but was off for 3-weeks. Previously won at this level on 7/5, will use and look for a better try tonight.

Race 3

1-Pier Ho Kado (3-1)-Used hopples for the 1st time in last start and won from the 9-hole by coming off cover. That was an impressive win from the 2nd tier at RidC and best to respect here.
6-Chelseas Magic (9/2)-Raced well on 7/26 at RidC and finished 2nd but that was after breaking stride on 7/17 here. Thinking Henry will be more aggressive after putting in a flat line and can beat this crew with a top effort.
9-Moana (4-1)-Beat a couple from this field on 8/4 and fits well with this bunch. 9-hole makes it more difficult, but McNair has options. Steacy trainee can leave for a good seat or come off cover, either way should be in the hunt.

Race 4

4-Miss Rockadlli (5/2)-Flew off the gate in last to get the top and was just nipped at the wire. Now makes 2nd start for the Barrington barn, Henry sticks and looks like a major player.
5-Kiwi Focus N-Drops in for a tag after racing in NW3kL5 on Friday and wasn't used hard. Should like the company and could be dialed on high tonight.
6-High Monn Sunshine (9/2)-Big try last week from the 7-hole to get a 3rd place check and was claimed. Makes 1st start for Fellows and McClure takes a spin. Beaten favorite could make amends here.
7-Lydi Lulla Belle (6-1)-Another who makes 1st start off a claim for Fellows. Was a beaten favorite as well, and came 2nd in 1st Wbsb start. Post shouldn't be a big issue as McNair can put in play early and may offer a square price.

Race 5

2-Captainofrocknroll (5/2)-Won easily on 8/3 when McClure stole the 2nd quarter and is a perfect 2-2 at Mohawk. This colt seems to have as much or more speed than any in this field and has a post edge over the 2nd chalk #8.
4-Island Beach Boy (4-1)-Was rank into the 1st turn in last and had a tough trip but was still pacing hard to the finish. After being 1st over, and seemed to be cut off at the head of the stretch, to lose by only 2 lengths was a strong try. Might be better this week and could be overlooked at the windows.

My Ticket

Race 1) 4,6

Race 2) 2,4,7

Race 3) 1,6,9

Race 4) 4,5,6,7

Race 5) 2,4

Total Ticket Cost) $28.80 for $0.20

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