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Monday August 17: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

August 17, 2020

Woodbine Mohawk Park has an 11-race card scheduled for this evening with the 0.20 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 8. That sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

5-Fern Hill Bella (6-1)-Nice effort from the 2nd tier in last, actually last 2 starts have been better. Young needs to work a good trip, if so, this mare could surprise at a good price.
6-Lydi Lula Belle (7/2)-Had a nice effort from post 7 in 1st start for the Fellows barn. McNair is in the bike again so looking for an aggressive steer and to be put in play early.
8-Highmoon Sunshine (5/2)-Another Fellow entry that won last start by taking the long way around and flew home at 4/5 with McClure. Looking for another strong effort and the post helps the price.

Race 9

2-O Narutac Perfetto (5-1)-There are reasons not to use, being trip dependent is a big one. But has been racing well and gets post relief. If Jamieson can provide a better steer than last week this 9-year-old can win at a square price.
3-Only Take Cash (5/2)-Can't seem to get on track this year after banking over $500k in 2019. Henry should be able to keep this mare in the hunt and maybe she will finally close the deal.
4-Treasured Tee (4-1)-Even effort when dropped to this level last week but that was coming off a sick scratch and being off almost 3 weeks. Winner of >$117k in 35 starts at Wbsb can cash the biggest check with a top effort.

Race 10

1-Memo (5-1)-Even effort on 8/10 but hadn't raced since 7/21. Will need a strong try to win at this class but from the rail McNair can get the top or the 2 hole and trip out. Looking for a price and will use to beat the chalks (4-5).
6-Cool Muscle (8-1)-Racing well and will need a to be extra sharp here but this feels like a race where the program favorites can be beat. If that's the case, MacDonell can come off cover and roll by late as the pace could be hot.

Race 11

2-Osborne Seelster (4-1)-Drops to a spot to shine and should be in the hunt from start to finish. McNair will likely get on the engine or will work a pocket trip.
3-Sports Authority (5-1)-Henry takes a spin and that could make a difference. Has one 2nd place finish in 3 Wbsb starts but will use in a race that doesn't have a big standout. Banking on favorable trip and should be a price.
5-His Boy Elroy (9/2)-Elroy is only 2 for the last 22 but did go by a few down the lane in 3rd race after the restart. If Roy can keep in striking range it could be time for an overdue picture at a fair price.
8-Machin A Trick (3-1)-Moreau trainee drops, and McClure grabs the line. This is probably the horse with the most speed but has only won 12% of lifetime starts and could be over bet.

My Ticket

Race 8) 5,6,8

Race 9) 2,3,4

Race 10) 1,6

Race 11) 2,3,5,8

Total Ticket Cost) = $14.40 for $0.20

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