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Friday, August 28: Hoosier Park Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

August 28, 2020

Tonight, Hoosier Park has a 14-race card set to go which will feature Indiana Sires Stakes action. The 0.50 Pick 5 starts in Race 10, that sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

5-Captain Zamperini (3-1)-Winner of only 3 in the last 41 but one victory came on 8/21 in a condition-claiming event. Since being claimed by the Ode barn, has faced better and gone faster than in recent starts. Moves up but will string along with connections.
6-The Candyman Can (2-1)-Burke trainee is only 2 for 16 lifetime but takes a good drop tonight. Raced the last half in .54 last time but was too far back versus a solid field. Should like the company and best to respect.

Race 11

2-PBR Street Gang (4-1)-Broke in last start in the Fox Stakes from the 2nd tier but that was the 1st miscue since on 6/29 in a qualifier. Tetrick was not in the bike in last, he returns and knows well. Looking for a rebound at a square price.
8-JK Going West (7/2)-This 2-year-old has had 5 starts with 4 second place finishes and has been driven fairly conservatively. Maybe it's time to get more aggressive and previous winners are not in this field.
9-Madelines BLK Jack (3-1)-Lost for 1st time in 3 starts on 8/4 to Virgo the program chalk in the next leg who won by 5 lengths. In that race was use hard for the lead and now has been off for over 3 weeks. The rest may help and doesn't need to get on the engine to win.

Race 12

3-Virgo (5/2)-Dominated in the Fox Stakes and is shooting for 3rd straight picture and Tetrick sticks. Likes to sizzle the back half and could find some live cover to do the same this time.
5-What's Your Beef (7/2)-Has been off since 8/4 but did qualify well at ScD on 8/18 and now tries Lasix for the 1st time. Brown trainee is a perfect 4 for 4 but may need this start. Hoping will be ready for a big try and will use in case #3 doesn't have his fastball.

Race 13

2-Rockinbeach (7/2)-Has begun slowly in last 5 starts but now draws back inside and regular pilot returns. Likes the track, winning 10 of 44 at HoP.
5-Ballerat Boomergang (4-1)-This is the 4th start for the Simmons barn and they have won their share. Stayed inside at this class last week starting from the rail but did pace the last half in 54.2. Bates may look to roll off cover and sweep by late for 1st win of 2020.
7-Sawyer's Desire (9/5)-Might have been a single if drew better but not sure if a picture is happening coming off cover. This colt is facing older foes and may not land on the top without a struggle, so will use and look to others for more value.

Race 14

Looking for a fair price in a race where #1 the 5/2 choice is 0-16 this year. The program chalk has faded down the lane in all 9 starts since returning to action. Plus, the last start was at this same level, so will look to beat.
4-Shadyjake (9/2)-Jake drops to a comfortable spot and should be more forwardly placed than in recent starts. Tetrick should have in striking range at the top of the lane. Has won 9 of 63 at HoP and looks to offer a square price.
6-Dont Say Goodby (6-1)-12-year-old drops to a spot to shine and could add some pop to the Pick 5 payout. Miller should be able to put in play in a race without a standout.

My Ticket

Race 10) 5,6

Race 11) 2,8,9

Race 12) 3,5

Race 13) 2,5,7

Race 14) 4,6

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $0.50

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