by Jeremy Plonk
August 29, 2020
Saturday’s mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6 at Gulfstream is part of a 4-stakes card that’s one of summer’s best in South Florida. Races 7-12 comprise the sequence and the kickoff leg is slated to begin around 3:06 pm ET with a carryover of $349,328. You can bet the Gulfstream Park full-card and Rainbow 6 on the 1/ST BET app and at Xpressbet.
Selections provided by the 1/ST INDEX measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer.
Xpressbet and 1/ST handicapper Jeremy Plonk provides his human insights to the AI picks for the Gulfstream Park Rainbow 6. All contenders who received a 10% or higher chance from the 1/ST INDEX in each race were included.
Race 7 (3:06PM ET) // Claiming // 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
1-Itsmyluckygirl (25% W // 40% P // 52% S)
6-Ima Daredevil (15% W // 32% P // 45% S)
5-Poseidon’s Princess (11% W // 29% P // 44% S)
12-Lemoncita (10% W // 18% P // 25% S)
Jeremy’s Take: This is a balanced race to start, so get some coverage. The algorithm and I agree on 1-6 at a minimum, but I’ll take 1-2-3-6-11.
Race 8 (3:40PM ET) // $75,000 Proud Man S. // 1 Mile (Turf)
7-Fulmini (21% W // 28% P // 42% S)
1-Hot Blooded (19% W // 47% P // 57% S)
3-Hail Rich Legacy (14% W // 30% P // 42% S)
6-Savatiano (14% W // 30% P // 53% S)
Jeremy’s Take: Man and machine agree on 1-7 at the top of this ticket. But the percentages show it’s balanced with only a 2-point spread on the top pair and only 7 points among the top four – the closest margins in the Rainbow 6. I’ll spread a bit in this race with a quartet, 1-7-8-9.
Race 9 (4:14PM ET) // $200,000 Susan's Girl S. // 7 Furlongs (Dirt)
5-Princess Secret (33% W // 55% P // 68% S)
6-Oh Deborah (22% W // 49% P // 73% S)
1-Freak (17% W // 35% P // 52% S)
3-Alluramore (11% W // 23% P // 31% S)
Jeremy’s Take: The 1/ST INDEX gives a surprising snub to 4-Go Jo Jo Go, 21-1 upset winner of the Desert Vixen. Perhaps the data agrees that lightning doesn’t strike twice? I’ll go 3-deep with 5-4-3.
Race 10 (4:48PM ET) // $75,000 Sharp Susan S. // 1 Mile (Turf)
5-Spanish Loveaffair (30% W // 44% P // 55% S)
4-Director’s Cut (14% W // 23% P // 40% S)
2-Can’t Buy Love (12% W // 25% P // 36% S)
1-Special Inclusion (10% W // 25% P // 29% S)
3-Beach Chick (10% W // 16% P // 34% S)
Jeremy’s Take: The 16-point spread from first to second is the widest in the Rainbow 6, and I’m in total agreement with the algorithm here. This is all about 5-Spanish Loveaffair. Single 5.
Race 11 (5:21PM ET) // $200,000 Affirmed S. // 7 Furlongs (Dirt)
6-Breeze On Bye (32% W // 51% P // 58% S)
1-Gatsby (17% W // 33% P // 45% S)
4-Big Daddy Dave (12% W // 24% P // 37% S)
5-Seazan (12% W // 27% P // 42% S)
Jeremy’s Take: While many may be singling the favorite morning line favorite 6-Breeze On By, and the 15-point spread in this race is a solid endorsement of that, I’ll be using a trio of runners. Give 4-Big Daddy Dave an upset shot as the distance here at 7 furlongs could be the tripping point for the favorite. Use 4-6-1.
Race 12 (5:54PM ET) // Claiming // 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
9-Duchossois (23% W // 43% P // 47% S)
7-Policy Option (17% W // 24% P // 37% S)
10-Atakan (13% W // 26% P // 37% S)
6-Time for Trouble (12% W // 24% P // 32% S)
Jeremy’s Take: With a 12-1 choice on the artificial intelligence top pick 9-Duchossois, you can’t argue with a price to close the card. My handicapping focus was on the top pair in the morning line, 6-Time for Trouble and 7-Policy Plan, a less creative decision. My plays amount to a $72 ticket if there are no scratches.