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Saturday August 29: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

August 29, 2020

It is a huge night of racing at Woodbine Mohawk Park featuring the $1,000,000 North America Cup and a mandatory Jackpot Hi-5 payout. The Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10 and it will be my focus. Part of the sequence includes the Roses Are Red Final, the North America Cup, and the Eternal Camnation for 2-year-old fillies.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10-Roses Are Red Final-Purse $290,000

3-Major Occasion A (9/2)-Comes off an even effort at Tioga but this mare can go from looking okay to great. Gets a good post draw and should be forwardly placed throughout. Looks like a player at a fair price and does good work on a big oval.
6-Warrawee Ubeaut (7/2)-Winner in 3 of 5 starts at Wbsb and Gingras could be flying off the gate. Won the Breeders Crown here last year and should be in the hunt once again.
7-So Much More (5-1)-Steps-up to meet some tough mares but this gal loves taking pictures. Has won 16 of 34 at Wbsb and 26 of 52 lifetime. The pace could be hot and that helps, so best to respect at a nice price.

Race 11-Pepsi North America Cup Final-Purse $1,000,000

4-Tall Dark Stranger (7/5)-Makes 3rd start on Lasix and wasn't dominant in last week's elimination but Gingras said there was an issue with pulling the ear plugs. Also, that was the 1st start since 8/8 and should be even better coming right back. Many will single and that is understandable, should be tough to beat with a decent trip but will likely be tested.
5-Capt Midnight (9/2)-Alagna trainee has no excuses starting next to the Stranger from a good post. If McNair pushes the button at the right time this colt may finally get some revenge over the odds-on favorite.

Race 12-Eternal Camnation-Purse $71,638

5-Best Head West (3-1)-Has hit the board in 3 of 4 starts at Wbsb with 2 wins. Hasn't shown much gate speed but can roll late and short field won't hurt chances.
6-Scarlett Hanover (2-1)-It's best to respect the program chalk with Gingras taking a seat tonight. Will toss last when a poor start hampered any chance of winning. Can take a picture with a top effort but not sure gunning out for the lead at this track leads to a picture.
7-Lady Midnight (5/2)-Another Alagna pupil that appears to be getting better and maybe will show some gate speed here. McClure is back aboard after a nice 2nd tier win versus easier.

Race 13

5-Traceur Hanover (3-1)-Classy veteran takes a good drop in class. $1,000,000 earner isn't dominant very often but if he gets the top and sets his own pace his determination can become evident. Roy will probably be on the engine or in the pocket.
7-Sports Column (12-1)-Started from the 2nd tier and did pace the last half in 53.3 on 8/22. McNair can put in play from this post and get a good early seat. Using and looking for a price to pump up the Pick 4 payout.
9-Points North (6-1)-Winner of 6 in 25 starts at Wbsb was part of very quick mile last week and raced well after stepping-up to this level. Drury may blast out, this 6-year-old has big gate speed and could trip out at a solid price.

My Ticket

Race 10) 3,6,7

Race 11) 4,5

Race 12) 5,6,7

Race 13) 5,7,9

Total Ticket Cost) $10.80 for $0.20

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