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Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

September 12, 2020

Tonight, Woodbine Mohawk Park has a stake heavy 13-race card set to go. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 4 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

1-Lauras Love (2-1)-Did get bothered in the lane last week but the winner was probably not to be denied anyway. Program chalk is a serious threat and drawing the rail shouldn't hurt chances.
4-Karma Seelster (3-1)-Still looking for 1st win since adding Lasix back on 7/17. Has been competitive but is only 1-16 here. Using at a fair price and may benefit from a pocket trip and roll by late.
6-Perfect Storm (7/2)-Will need a slick drive to win but that isn't out of the question with Henry in the bike. Does like the track hitting the board in 9 of 14 starts with 5 wins, best to not overlook.

Race 5

7-Donna Soprano (7/5)-Winner of 4 straight was the odds-on choice in last 2 and has looked the part. McClure has options as this filly appears to be a cut above the rest and is probably a decent trip away from another picture.

Race 6

2-Voelz Delight (7/2)-Seems to be on the improve although couldn't seal the deal in last but it wasn't a great trip. Gets post relief and Filion should have an easier path toward a well-timed move than from the 7-hole at GrVr. Has hit the board in all 3 starts here and has a win over this surface.
3-Scarlet Hanover (2-1)-Big effort for another Grand River win and should be bet down off that effort. Best to respect but is 0-3 at Mohawk and won't offer any value. Using but will look to others to punch up the Pick 4 payout.
5-Twin Be Sunkissed (6-1)-Broke maiden in last at GrVr and had an nice try from the 7-hole at Wbsb to come 2nd on 8/29 in the Eternal Camnation. Sunshine Beach filly is getting better and if pace is hot JMac will be rolling late at a nice price.

Race 7

2-HP Napolean (5/2)-4-year-old takes a good drop in class and should have no excuse as long as Filion works a decent trip. Beat better here on 7/4 and this is a spot to shine but is only 5 for 39 at Mohawk.
4-The Downtown Bus (3-1)-Took a big drop to this level in last and came up short. Is winless in 6 tries this year but had been facing better. McClure steers again, this could be wake-up time and has won 8 in 25 starts here.

$1 Early Pick 4

Total Bet=$18

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