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Friday, September 18: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

September 18, 2020

The Meadowlands has a competitive 13-race card ready to go this evening. There will be two carryovers which bettors will focus on and both should lead to large pools. One is in the 0.20 Late Pick 5 and the other is in the 0.50 Late Pick 4. My focus will be on the Late Pick 4 which begins in Race 10 and it has a $38,390 carryover.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

6-Aquaman Hanover (10-1)-Looking for a price to kick things off with #9 coming off a break at PcD. Loses Dunn who picks Takter's #9. But Todd McCarthy can put in play and with an advantageous trip could surprise at a big price.
8-Summa Cum Laude (3-1)-Won here on 7/31 from the 7-hole in gate to wire fashion in 151.4. Dave Miller takes a seat and he will steer the only one in this field to record a win at the Big M.
9-Always A Miki (5/2)-Dunn sticks here and made a costly miscue in the Pass final on 9/5. Best to not overlook this Takter trainee but Dunn will need a to work a smooth trip.

Race 11

3-Fifty Cent Piece (8-1)-Has 2 Big M starts, both were from the 9-hole and showed good gate speed to finish 2nd each time. This is a bigger test but has a post edge over the 2 program chalks. Could trip out and best to consider at this price.
6-Kings County (8-1)-Started 3 times at Plainridge Park as an odds-on chalk and broke in the last 2 starts. 1st time Todd McCarthy which also adds to the risk, but this race is a head scratcher. 4-year-old has the speed to beat this crew and will use at this price. Has hit the board 3 times with a win here and shows no breaks at the Big M.
7-Thunder (3-1)-Broke on 8/20, then on 9/5 qualified with hopples in 153.1 and missed beating Ramona Hill by a neck. Conway Hall 4-year-old has big speed and can take a picture if minds manners.
9-HL Revadon (10-1)-The post makes the price and is super consistent at the Big M, has 3 wins in 13 starts and has only been off the board once. Mark Mac needs a big-time steer and some luck but here is another price shot worth using.

Race 12

1-Heart Of Mine (5/2)-This filly is too good to leave out from the rail but is only 1-6 lifetime. Makes her Big M debut and should be bet hard.
4-Think Of Galaxies (5-1)-Returns to a 1-mile oval and might be sitting on a big try. Was hung out to dry at YR last week and could be overlooked at the windows tonight. Has the gate speed to be on the point or in the 2-hole, best to respect.
6-Fire Start Hanover (3-1)-Will probably be fine on the big track, if doesn't work too hard to get the top. Maybe Dunn takes back as there is some speed inside. Should be a major player but not sure how the trip will work out and may not offer any value.

Race 13

2-Gamblin Mo (6-1)-Has only 1 win in 7 starts but has faced some very tough company. This colt has the motor to roll by late and should be a square price. If the pace is solid a picture could be in the cards as long as Callahan can put into striking range.
4-Crunch Hanover (7/2)-Crunch might be the fastest colt in the field and has the gate speed to control the race. Should have a good shot to cash the biggest check but has never raced on a larger oval.

My Ticket

Race 10) 6,8,9

Race 11) 3,6,7,9

Race 12) 1,4,6

Race 13) 2,4

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $0.50

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