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Monday October 12: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 12, 2020

Woodbine Mohawk Park starts the week with an 11-race card. The popular 0.20 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 4 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

3-Goldinthebadlands (5/2)-Winner of 3 straight dispatched 4 from this field in last. MacDonald is back and he has taken pictures before. Will probably leave to get an up-close seat and is a major threat.
4-Allstar Seelster (7/2)-Got on the engine from the 9-hole and didn't look back versus $20k claimers in 151.2. Has won 7 of 22 here and does step up, but this barn can keep them good for a while.

Race 5

3-Cyndi Lynn (6-1)-Put in a nice effort from the 2nd tier and will look for an even stronger try from this post. Henry should provide an aggressive steer and fits well with this group. Will shoot against #1 as the ML chalk missed a start and tries Lasix.
4-Sombre (8-1)-Slow start hurt chances when bumped up to this level in last after 2 consecutive wins. If pace is honest chances for success go and JMac should have in striking range.
8-Memo (8-1)-Drops to a soft spot, McNair should be gunning out and that could work well. Has the gate speed to get the top and take control at a solid price.

Race 6

2-Joliette Hanover (7/2)-Has the speed to swallow these up but has broken stride in 2 of last 3. Should enjoy the company and if not over bet this filly is worth the risk.
3-Carnival Heart (8-1)-Winner in 4 of 7 lifetime starts makes her big track debut. Might be overlooked at the windows and will take a swing from this post.
4-Sweet Pink (8-1)-Skimmed the rail with a close-up seat and the pace was honest but did fade down the lane. Now tries Lasix for the 2nd time and Gallucci trainee should like the company at a square price.
8-Always Watching (9/2)-Fits well with this crew and the post helps the price. Has started from post 8 in 2 of last 3 and both times left and got on the engine. Can leave with enough speed to get the top and might be able to control the pace and not be caught.

Race 7

2-Assassins Creed (6-1)-Didn't leave quickly in last start from the rail but took control and went the back half in 55.3 to win easily. Steps up after breaking maiden and will use at a nice price as upswing could continue.
4-Lyons Liberty (5-1)-Yonkers invader makes 2nd start for new barn and last was a sharp effort. Competitive colt might be sitting on a big try. Will look to beat the camera-shy morning line chalk #1.
8-Windsun Azar (12-1)-Steps up to meet better after rolling the 2nd half in .55 with a last quarter of 26.4. Makes 5th lifetime start, maybe everything clicked when winning last and will string along in a race without a standout.

My Ticket

Race 4) 3,4

Race 5) 3,4,8

Race 6) 2,3,4,8

Race 7) 2,4,8

Total Ticket Cost) $14.40 for $0.20

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